Vossloh AG Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

VOSSF Stock  USD 93.49  0.00  0.00%   
Vossloh Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vossloh AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Vossloh AG's share price is above 80 . This entails that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 81

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vossloh AG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vossloh AG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vossloh AG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vossloh AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Vossloh AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vossloh AG from the perspective of Vossloh AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Vossloh AG on the next trading day is expected to be 94.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.74.

Vossloh AG after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 93.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vossloh AG to cross-verify your projections.

Vossloh AG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vossloh price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vossloh using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vossloh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Vossloh AG price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Vossloh AG Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Vossloh AG on the next trading day is expected to be 94.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.19, mean absolute percentage error of 7.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 133.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vossloh Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vossloh AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vossloh AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vossloh AG  Vossloh AG Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Vossloh AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vossloh AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vossloh AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.10 and 96.16, respectively. We have considered Vossloh AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
93.49
94.63
Expected Value
96.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vossloh AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vossloh AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.0833
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.1925
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.026
SAESum of the absolute errors133.7408
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Vossloh AG historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Vossloh AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vossloh AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vossloh AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.9793.4995.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.14106.63108.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
89.0492.2095.37
Details

Vossloh AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vossloh AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vossloh AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Vossloh AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vossloh AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vossloh AG's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vossloh AG's historical news coverage. Vossloh AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 91.97 and 95.01, respectively. We have considered Vossloh AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
93.49
93.49
After-hype Price
95.01
Upside
Vossloh AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vossloh AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vossloh AG Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vossloh AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vossloh AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vossloh AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.53
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
93.49
93.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Vossloh AG Hype Timeline

Vossloh AG is at this time traded for 93.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vossloh is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vossloh AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 93.49. About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vossloh AG last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2022. The entity had 10:1 split on the 8th of July 1996. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vossloh AG to cross-verify your projections.

Vossloh AG Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vossloh AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vossloh AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Vossloh AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vossloh AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ZHUZYZhuzhou CRRC Times 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CDGLYComfortdelgro Ltd 0.00 0 per month 4.51  0.05  14.05 (10.38) 42.17 
FGROYFirstGroup PLC ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00 (5.30) 21.09 
GNGYFGuangshen Railway 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 0.00  0.00  36.02 
CMGMFChemring Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.76 (2.02) 25.66 
CMGMYChemring Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 3.57  0.02  7.32 (6.59) 19.78 
PKCOYPark24 Co Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  0.00  0.00  12.31 
KMGIFKamigumi Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  23.95 
SWRBYSwire Pacific Ltd 0.00 0 per month 1.17  0.02  4.80 (2.94) 14.71 
RLLWFReliance Worldwide 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.45 (6.04) 23.45 

Other Forecasting Options for Vossloh AG

For every potential investor in Vossloh, whether a beginner or expert, Vossloh AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vossloh Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vossloh. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vossloh AG's price trends.

Vossloh AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vossloh AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vossloh AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vossloh AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vossloh AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vossloh AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vossloh AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vossloh AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vossloh AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vossloh AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vossloh AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vossloh AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vossloh pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Vossloh AG

The number of cover stories for Vossloh AG depends on current market conditions and Vossloh AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vossloh AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vossloh AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Vossloh Pink Sheet

Vossloh AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vossloh Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vossloh with respect to the benefits of owning Vossloh AG security.