Vossloh AG Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

VOSSY Stock  USD 8.66  0.26  3.10%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vossloh AG ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.66. Vossloh Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Vossloh AG's share price is approaching 35. This entails that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vossloh AG, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 35

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vossloh AG's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vossloh AG ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Vossloh AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vossloh AG ADR from the perspective of Vossloh AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vossloh AG ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.66.

Vossloh AG after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vossloh AG to cross-verify your projections.

Vossloh AG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vossloh price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vossloh using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vossloh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Vossloh AG polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Vossloh AG ADR as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Vossloh AG Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vossloh AG ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vossloh Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vossloh AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vossloh AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vossloh AGVossloh AG Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vossloh AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vossloh AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vossloh AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.16 and 11.20, respectively. We have considered Vossloh AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.66
8.68
Expected Value
11.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vossloh AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vossloh AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3191
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2568
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0278
SAESum of the absolute errors15.6635
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Vossloh AG historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Vossloh AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vossloh AG ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vossloh AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.148.6611.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.468.9811.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vossloh AG

For every potential investor in Vossloh, whether a beginner or expert, Vossloh AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vossloh Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vossloh. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vossloh AG's price trends.

Vossloh AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vossloh AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vossloh AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vossloh AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vossloh AG ADR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vossloh AG's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vossloh AG's current price.

Vossloh AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vossloh AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vossloh AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vossloh AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vossloh AG ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vossloh AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vossloh AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vossloh AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vossloh pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Vossloh Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Vossloh AG's price analysis, check to measure Vossloh AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vossloh AG is operating at the current time. Most of Vossloh AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vossloh AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vossloh AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vossloh AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.