Invesco Pennsylvania Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

VPV Stock  USD 10.72  0.01  0.09%   
Invesco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Invesco Pennsylvania's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Invesco Pennsylvania's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Invesco Pennsylvania and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Invesco Pennsylvania's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Invesco Pennsylvania Value, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Invesco Pennsylvania's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.58)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Using Invesco Pennsylvania hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invesco Pennsylvania Value from the perspective of Invesco Pennsylvania response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Invesco Pennsylvania Value on the next trading day is expected to be 10.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.45.

Invesco Pennsylvania after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Invesco Pennsylvania to cross-verify your projections.

Invesco Pennsylvania Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Invesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Invesco Pennsylvania price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Invesco Pennsylvania Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Invesco Pennsylvania Value on the next trading day is expected to be 10.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Invesco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Invesco Pennsylvania's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Invesco Pennsylvania Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Invesco Pennsylvania  Invesco Pennsylvania Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Invesco Pennsylvania Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Invesco Pennsylvania's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Invesco Pennsylvania's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.18 and 11.05, respectively. We have considered Invesco Pennsylvania's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.72
10.62
Expected Value
11.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Invesco Pennsylvania stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Invesco Pennsylvania stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9483
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1057
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0101
SAESum of the absolute errors6.4474
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Invesco Pennsylvania Value historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Invesco Pennsylvania

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Pennsylvania. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2810.7211.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1710.6111.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.1310.4610.78
Details

Invesco Pennsylvania After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Invesco Pennsylvania at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invesco Pennsylvania or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Invesco Pennsylvania, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Invesco Pennsylvania Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Invesco Pennsylvania's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invesco Pennsylvania's historical news coverage. Invesco Pennsylvania's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.28 and 11.16, respectively. We have considered Invesco Pennsylvania's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.72
10.72
After-hype Price
11.16
Upside
Invesco Pennsylvania is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invesco Pennsylvania is based on 3 months time horizon.

Invesco Pennsylvania Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Invesco Pennsylvania is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invesco Pennsylvania backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invesco Pennsylvania, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.44
 0.00  
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.72
10.72
0.00 
4,400  
Notes

Invesco Pennsylvania Hype Timeline

On the 6th of February Invesco Pennsylvania is traded for 10.72. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Invesco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invesco Pennsylvania is about 200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.73. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Invesco Pennsylvania recorded a loss per share of 0.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Invesco Pennsylvania to cross-verify your projections.

Invesco Pennsylvania Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Invesco Pennsylvania's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invesco Pennsylvania's future price movements. Getting to know how Invesco Pennsylvania's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invesco Pennsylvania may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VTNInvesco Trust For(0.02)7 per month 0.00  0.16  1.05 (0.70) 2.10 
EHIWestern Asset Global(0.01)1 per month 0.33  0.05  1.14 (0.79) 3.36 
OIAInvesco Municipal Income(0.06)10 per month 0.41  0.08  0.84 (0.68) 3.84 
FLDOXDividend Opportunities Fund 0.09 1 per month 0.29  0.05  0.72 (0.64) 3.26 
MENYXMadison Ered Call 0.13 1 per month 0.30  0.12  1.19 (0.85) 5.37 
RMCFXRoyce Micro Cap Fund 0.00 0 per month 1.07  0.14  2.51 (2.56) 20.80 
TBCUXTweedy Browne Global 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.20  1.36 (0.80) 8.54 
THPGXThompson Largecap Fund 2.00 1 per month 0.51  0.11  1.23 (0.98) 3.29 
BKNBlackRock Investment Quality 0.05 5 per month 0.21  0.05  0.73 (0.54) 1.96 
FLCFlaherty Crumrine Total 0.02 6 per month 0.32  0.01  0.63 (0.69) 1.62 

Other Forecasting Options for Invesco Pennsylvania

For every potential investor in Invesco, whether a beginner or expert, Invesco Pennsylvania's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Invesco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Invesco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Invesco Pennsylvania's price trends.

Invesco Pennsylvania Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Invesco Pennsylvania stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Invesco Pennsylvania could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Invesco Pennsylvania by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Invesco Pennsylvania Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Invesco Pennsylvania stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Invesco Pennsylvania shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Invesco Pennsylvania stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Invesco Pennsylvania Value entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Invesco Pennsylvania Risk Indicators

The analysis of Invesco Pennsylvania's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Invesco Pennsylvania's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting invesco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Invesco Pennsylvania

The number of cover stories for Invesco Pennsylvania depends on current market conditions and Invesco Pennsylvania's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invesco Pennsylvania is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invesco Pennsylvania's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Additional Tools for Invesco Stock Analysis

When running Invesco Pennsylvania's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Pennsylvania's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Pennsylvania is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Pennsylvania's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Pennsylvania's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Pennsylvania's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Pennsylvania to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.