Vera Bradley Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| VRA Stock | USD 2.61 0.03 1.14% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vera Bradley on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.24. Vera Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vera Bradley stock prices and determine the direction of Vera Bradley's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vera Bradley's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Vera Bradley's share price is at 51. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vera Bradley, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.05 | Wall Street Target Price 4 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.15) |
Using Vera Bradley hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vera Bradley from the perspective of Vera Bradley response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vera Bradley using Vera Bradley's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vera using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vera Bradley's stock price.
Vera Bradley Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Vera Bradley's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vera. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vera Bradley stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 2.2675 | Short Percent 0.0701 | Short Ratio 5.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 2.3122 |
Vera Bradley Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vera Bradley's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vera. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vera can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vera Bradley. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Vera Bradley Implied Volatility | 4.37 |
Vera Bradley's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vera Bradley stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vera Bradley's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vera Bradley stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vera Bradley's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vera Bradley on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.24. Vera Bradley after-hype prediction price | USD 2.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vera Bradley to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Vera Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vera Bradley's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vera Bradley's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vera Bradley stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vera Bradley's open interest, investors have to compare it to Vera Bradley's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vera Bradley is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vera. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Vera Bradley Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vera Bradley Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vera Bradley on the next trading day is expected to be 2.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vera Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vera Bradley's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vera Bradley Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vera Bradley | Vera Bradley Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Vera Bradley Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vera Bradley's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vera Bradley's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.57, respectively. We have considered Vera Bradley's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vera Bradley stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vera Bradley stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.0287 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0107 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1397 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0556 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.24 |
Predictive Modules for Vera Bradley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vera Bradley. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vera Bradley After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vera Bradley at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vera Bradley or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vera Bradley, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vera Bradley Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vera Bradley's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vera Bradley's historical news coverage. Vera Bradley's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 9.55, respectively. We have considered Vera Bradley's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vera Bradley is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vera Bradley is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vera Bradley Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vera Bradley is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vera Bradley backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vera Bradley, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 6.95 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.61 | 2.60 | 0.38 |
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Vera Bradley Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January Vera Bradley is traded for 2.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Vera is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Vera Bradley is about 6435.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.56. About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vera Bradley has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.31. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.97. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vera Bradley to cross-verify your projections.Vera Bradley Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vera Bradley's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vera Bradley's future price movements. Getting to know how Vera Bradley's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vera Bradley may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNPOF | Ten Pao Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLOFF | Solstad Offshore ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.77 | |
| SAFS | Safer Shot | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NORSF | Norsk Titanium AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.23 | 0.03 | 16.67 | (15.38) | 63.03 | |
| NRSAF | Norse Atlantic ASA | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.95 | (7.69) | 36.87 | |
| ADFJF | ADF Group | (0.27) | 9 per month | 2.00 | 0.06 | 4.37 | (3.98) | 18.32 | |
| DIALF | Dialight plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.20 | |
| LQMT | Liquidmetal Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 24.36 | |
| AMROF | Amaero International | (0.27) | 6 per month | 6.72 | 0.09 | 18.75 | (11.76) | 63.81 | |
| JNSTF | Jinhui Shipping and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vera Bradley
For every potential investor in Vera, whether a beginner or expert, Vera Bradley's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vera Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vera. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vera Bradley's price trends.Vera Bradley Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vera Bradley stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vera Bradley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vera Bradley by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vera Bradley Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vera Bradley stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vera Bradley shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vera Bradley stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vera Bradley entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19047.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.14) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.64 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.53 |
Vera Bradley Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vera Bradley's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vera Bradley's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vera stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.69 | |||
| Variance | 44.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 37.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 28.88 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vera Bradley
The number of cover stories for Vera Bradley depends on current market conditions and Vera Bradley's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vera Bradley is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vera Bradley's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vera Bradley Short Properties
Vera Bradley's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vera Bradley's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vera Bradley often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vera Bradley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vera Bradley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vera Bradley to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Vera Stock refer to our How to Trade Vera Stock guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vera Bradley. If investors know Vera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vera Bradley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Earnings Share (2.97) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Vera Bradley is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vera Bradley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vera Bradley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vera Bradley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vera Bradley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vera Bradley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vera Bradley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vera Bradley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.