Varex Imaging Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| VREX Stock | USD 13.78 0.15 1.08% |
Varex Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Varex Imaging's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.534 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.145 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.814 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.945 | Wall Street Target Price 17.7 |
Using Varex Imaging hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Varex Imaging Corp from the perspective of Varex Imaging response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Varex Imaging using Varex Imaging's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Varex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Varex Imaging's stock price.
Varex Imaging Implied Volatility | 1.14 |
Varex Imaging's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Varex Imaging Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Varex Imaging's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Varex Imaging stock will not fluctuate a lot when Varex Imaging's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Varex Imaging Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.61. Varex Imaging after-hype prediction price | USD 13.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Varex Imaging to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Varex contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Varex Imaging Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0712% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Varex Imaging trading at USD 13.78, that is roughly USD 0.009818 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Varex Imaging's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Varex Imaging Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Varex Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Varex Imaging's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Varex Imaging's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Varex Imaging stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Varex Imaging's open interest, investors have to compare it to Varex Imaging's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Varex Imaging is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Varex. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Varex Imaging Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Varex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Varex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Varex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Varex Imaging Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Varex Imaging Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 14.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Varex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Varex Imaging's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Varex Imaging Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Varex Imaging | Varex Imaging Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Varex Imaging Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Varex Imaging's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Varex Imaging's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.34 and 16.76, respectively. We have considered Varex Imaging's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Varex Imaging stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Varex Imaging stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8795 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4775 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0392 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.6079 |
Predictive Modules for Varex Imaging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Varex Imaging Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Varex Imaging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Varex Imaging After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Varex Imaging at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Varex Imaging or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Varex Imaging, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Varex Imaging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Varex Imaging's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Varex Imaging's historical news coverage. Varex Imaging's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.11 and 16.53, respectively. We have considered Varex Imaging's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Varex Imaging is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Varex Imaging Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Varex Imaging Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Varex Imaging is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Varex Imaging backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Varex Imaging, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.71 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.78 | 13.82 | 0.29 |
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Varex Imaging Hype Timeline
Varex Imaging Corp is at this time traded for 13.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Varex is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Varex Imaging is about 4044.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.80. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 844.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (69.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 290.5 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Varex Imaging to cross-verify your projections.Varex Imaging Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Varex Imaging's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Varex Imaging's future price movements. Getting to know how Varex Imaging's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Varex Imaging may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAB | Standard Biotools | 0.08 | 8 per month | 3.35 | 0.02 | 7.81 | (5.33) | 25.50 | |
| AVNS | Avanos Medical | 0.21 | 10 per month | 1.71 | 0.14 | 4.68 | (3.06) | 9.85 | |
| CTKB | Cytek Biosciences | (0.11) | 8 per month | 2.94 | 0.06 | 6.42 | (4.99) | 26.01 | |
| CBLL | CeriBell | 0.94 | 10 per month | 2.03 | 0.24 | 6.82 | (3.94) | 18.00 | |
| SY | So Young International | 0.03 | 4 per month | 5.32 | 0.02 | 7.04 | (8.60) | 31.96 | |
| LXRX | Lexicon Pharmaceuticals | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.86 | (8.97) | 38.53 | |
| OMER | Omeros | 0.48 | 8 per month | 4.52 | 0.09 | 12.62 | (7.99) | 87.69 | |
| OFIX | Orthofix Medical | (0.45) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.30 | (3.36) | 11.43 | |
| CGEM | Cullinan Oncology LLC | (0.45) | 10 per month | 3.93 | 0.1 | 8.36 | (6.66) | 45.76 | |
| BCYC | Bicycle Therapeutics | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.51 | (7.17) | 14.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Varex Imaging
For every potential investor in Varex, whether a beginner or expert, Varex Imaging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Varex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Varex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Varex Imaging's price trends.Varex Imaging Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Varex Imaging stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Varex Imaging could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Varex Imaging by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Varex Imaging Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Varex Imaging stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Varex Imaging shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Varex Imaging stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Varex Imaging Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8318.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.43) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.85 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) |
Varex Imaging Risk Indicators
The analysis of Varex Imaging's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Varex Imaging's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting varex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Varex Imaging
The number of cover stories for Varex Imaging depends on current market conditions and Varex Imaging's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Varex Imaging is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Varex Imaging's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Varex Imaging Short Properties
Varex Imaging's future price predictability will typically decrease when Varex Imaging's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Varex Imaging Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Varex Imaging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Varex Imaging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 155.1 M |
Additional Tools for Varex Stock Analysis
When running Varex Imaging's price analysis, check to measure Varex Imaging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Varex Imaging is operating at the current time. Most of Varex Imaging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Varex Imaging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Varex Imaging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Varex Imaging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.