Verona Pharma Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VRNADelisted Stock | USD 86.00 2.00 2.38% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Verona Pharma PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 86.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.88. Verona Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Verona Pharma stock prices and determine the direction of Verona Pharma PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Verona Pharma's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Verona Pharma's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Verona Pharma hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verona Pharma PLC from the perspective of Verona Pharma response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Verona Pharma PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 86.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.88. Verona Pharma after-hype prediction price | USD 86.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Verona |
Verona Pharma Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Verona price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verona using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verona charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Verona Pharma Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Verona Pharma PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 86.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05, mean absolute percentage error of 7.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Verona Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Verona Pharma's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Verona Pharma Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Verona Pharma | Verona Pharma Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Verona Pharma stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Verona Pharma stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2711 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.32 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.048 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0121 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 62.88 |
Predictive Modules for Verona Pharma
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verona Pharma PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Verona Pharma Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Verona Pharma stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Verona Pharma could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Verona Pharma by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Verona Pharma Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Verona Pharma stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Verona Pharma shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Verona Pharma stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Verona Pharma PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Verona Pharma Risk Indicators
The analysis of Verona Pharma's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Verona Pharma's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verona stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Other Consideration for investing in Verona Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Verona Pharma PLC check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Verona Pharma's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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