Verona Pharma Plc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VRNA Stock  USD 38.81  0.95  2.51%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Verona Pharma PLC is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Verona Pharma buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VRNA positions.
  
Check out Verona Pharma Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Verona and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Verona Pharma PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Verona Pharma Buy or Sell Advice

The Verona recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Verona Pharma PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Verona Pharma PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Verona Pharma's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Verona PharmaBuy Verona Pharma
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Verona Pharma PLC has a Mean Deviation of 2.22, Semi Deviation of 1.8, Standard Deviation of 2.97, Variance of 8.84, Downside Variance of 4.74 and Semi Variance of 3.25
Verona Pharma PLC recommendation module can be used to check and cross-verify current trade recommendation provided by analysts inspecting the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Verona Pharma PLC is not overpriced, please validate all Verona Pharma fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the total debt and number of employees . Given that Verona Pharma PLC has a price to earning of (9.15) X, we advise you to double-check Verona Pharma PLC market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Verona Pharma Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Verona Pharma PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 458 K. Net Loss for the year was (54.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112 K.
Verona Pharma PLC currently holds about 111.51 M in cash with (50.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.83.
Verona Pharma PLC has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Verona Pharma Announces December 2024 Investor Conference Participation

Verona Pharma Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Verona Pharma's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Verona Pharma's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Verona Pharma daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Verona Pharma PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Verona Pharma returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Verona Pharma.
Mean Return
0.59
Value At Risk
-3.34
Potential Upside
7.31
Standard Deviation
2.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Verona Pharma historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Verona Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Jennison Associates Llc2024-09-30
1.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.7 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
1.6 M
Hood River Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Bellevue Group Ag2024-09-30
1.2 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Aisling Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Hhg Plc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Rice Hall James & Associates, Llc2024-09-30
985.1 K
Perceptive Advisors Llc2024-09-30
6.3 M
Nea Management Company, Llc2024-06-30
5.6 M
Note, although Verona Pharma's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Verona Pharma Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash4.1M157.6M(39.6M)79.4M43.9M46.1M
Free Cash Flow(44.7M)(45.2M)(33.3M)(59.9M)(50.2M)(47.7M)
Other Non Cash Items(2.5M)18K239K4.8M(332.4K)(349.0K)
Capital Expenditures369.7K82K12K29K4.073.87
Net Income(51.4M)(65.1M)(55.6M)(68.7M)(54.6M)(51.9M)
End Period Cash Flow30.1M188.0M148.4M227.8M271.8M285.4M
Depreciation660.8K623K629K636K116K212.0K
Change To Netincome1.5M21.6M8.1M18.9M21.7M22.8M
Change To Inventory4.2M(774.0K)6.9M(4.0M)1.00.95
Investments5.3M37.8M9.7M(12K)(29K)0.0

Verona Pharma Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Verona Pharma or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Verona Pharma's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Verona stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
3.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Verona Pharma Volatility Alert

Verona Pharma PLC currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.15 and Jensen Alpha of 0.55. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Verona Pharma's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Verona Pharma's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Verona Pharma Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Verona Pharma's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Verona Pharma's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Verona Pharma and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Verona Pharma or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Verona Pharma's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Verona Pharma by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Verona Pharma to competition
FundamentalsVerona PharmaPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.78-0.31
Return On Asset-0.28-0.14
Operating Margin(6.94) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.96 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding81.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.13 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.40 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.52 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(9.15) X28.72 X
Price To Book24.34 X9.51 X
Price To Sales564.70 X11.42 X
Revenue458 K9.43 B
Gross Profit112 K27.38 B
EBITDA(52.47 M)3.9 B
Net Income(54.58 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents111.51 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.83 X5.01 X
Total Debt51.33 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.57 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.59 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(50.22 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio8.04 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.00) X3.12 X
Target Price46.57
Number Of Employees7918.84 K
Beta0.42-0.15
Market Capitalization3.18 B19.03 B
Total Asset308.12 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(388.43 M)9.33 B
Working Capital281.02 M1.48 B
Net Asset308.12 M
Note: Disposition of 2400 shares by Mark Hahn of Verona Pharma at 5.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Verona Pharma Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Verona . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Verona Pharma Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Verona Pharma PLC? Buying financial instruments such as Verona Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Verona Pharma in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Verona Pharma PLC offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Verona Pharma's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Verona Pharma Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Verona Pharma Plc Stock:
Check out Verona Pharma Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verona Pharma. If investors know Verona will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verona Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.00)
Revenue Per Share
0.07
Return On Assets
(0.28)
Return On Equity
(0.78)
The market value of Verona Pharma PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verona that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verona Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verona Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verona Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verona Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verona Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verona Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verona Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.