Virtus Investment Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| VRTS Stock | USD 166.70 2.71 1.60% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Virtus Investment Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 168.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.42. Virtus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Virtus Investment's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.7443 | EPS Estimate Current Year 25.19 | EPS Estimate Next Year 25.2915 | Wall Street Target Price 181.25 |
Using Virtus Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virtus Investment Partners from the perspective of Virtus Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Virtus Investment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Virtus Investment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Virtus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Virtus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Virtus Investment Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Virtus Investment Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 168.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.42.
Virtus Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 169.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Investment to cross-verify your projections. Virtus Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Virtus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virtus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virtus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Virtus Investment Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Virtus Investment Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 168.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40, mean absolute percentage error of 8.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virtus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virtus Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Virtus Investment Stock Forecast Pattern
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Virtus Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Virtus Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virtus Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 166.30 and 169.81, respectively. We have considered Virtus Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtus Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtus Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5734 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.009 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3969 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 141.42 |
Predictive Modules for Virtus Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtus Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Virtus Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Virtus Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Virtus Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Virtus Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Virtus Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Virtus Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Virtus Investment's historical news coverage. Virtus Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 167.62 and 171.12, respectively. We have considered Virtus Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Virtus Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virtus Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Virtus Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Virtus Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virtus Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Virtus Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.75 | 0.04 | 3.32 | 13 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
166.70 | 169.37 | 0.02 |
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Virtus Investment Hype Timeline
Virtus Investment is at this time traded for 166.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 3.32. Virtus is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 169.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 79.91%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Virtus Investment is about 1.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 170.02. About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.2. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Virtus Investment has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.62. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.47. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Investment to cross-verify your projections.Virtus Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Virtus Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Virtus Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Virtus Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Virtus Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WTM | White Mountains Insurance | (23.27) | 10 per month | 0.65 | 0.02 | 1.39 | (1.26) | 8.03 | |
| OALC | Unified Series Trust | (0.12) | 1 per month | 0.86 | (0.04) | 1.07 | (1.42) | 3.40 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.19 | (2.51) | 12.88 | |
| SCRYX | Small Cap Core | 17.89 | 1 per month | 0.71 | 0.12 | 2.15 | (1.51) | 14.85 | |
| ABHYX | High Yield Municipal Fund | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.62) | 0.23 | (0.23) | 0.92 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | 0.07 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.25 | (0.06) | 0.93 | (0.64) | 2.46 | |
| EPASX | Ep Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.41 | (0.01) | 1.39 | (0.78) | 3.02 | |
| FGRO | Fidelity Growth Opportunities | 1,666 | 2 per month | 17.20 | 0.17 | 1.35 | (1.60) | 5,625 | |
| ANTMX | Nt International Small Mid | 0.13 | 1 per month | 0.77 | 0.07 | 1.40 | (1.43) | 3.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for Virtus Investment
For every potential investor in Virtus, whether a beginner or expert, Virtus Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virtus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virtus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virtus Investment's price trends.Virtus Investment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virtus Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virtus Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virtus Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Virtus Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virtus Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virtus Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virtus Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Virtus Investment Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 721.05 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.81) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 166.85 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 166.8 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.71) |
Virtus Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Virtus Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virtus Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virtus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.65 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Virtus Investment
The number of cover stories for Virtus Investment depends on current market conditions and Virtus Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Virtus Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Virtus Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Virtus Investment Short Properties
Virtus Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Virtus Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Virtus Investment Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Virtus Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Virtus Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 399.6 M |
Additional Tools for Virtus Stock Analysis
When running Virtus Investment's price analysis, check to measure Virtus Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Virtus Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Virtus Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Virtus Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Virtus Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Virtus Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.