VictoryShares Multi Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| VSMV Etf | USD 50.09 0.28 0.56% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VictoryShares Multi Factor Minimum on the next trading day is expected to be 50.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.64. VictoryShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
VictoryShares |
VictoryShares Multi Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VictoryShares Multi Factor Minimum on the next trading day is expected to be 50.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VictoryShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VictoryShares Multi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VictoryShares Multi Etf Forecast Pattern
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VictoryShares Multi Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VictoryShares Multi's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VictoryShares Multi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.66 and 50.88, respectively. We have considered VictoryShares Multi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VictoryShares Multi etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VictoryShares Multi etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.038 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2651 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0055 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.6384 |
Predictive Modules for VictoryShares Multi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VictoryShares Multi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for VictoryShares Multi
For every potential investor in VictoryShares, whether a beginner or expert, VictoryShares Multi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VictoryShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VictoryShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VictoryShares Multi's price trends.VictoryShares Multi Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VictoryShares Multi etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VictoryShares Multi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VictoryShares Multi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VictoryShares Multi Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VictoryShares Multi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VictoryShares Multi's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
VictoryShares Multi Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VictoryShares Multi etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VictoryShares Multi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VictoryShares Multi etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VictoryShares Multi Factor Minimum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VictoryShares Multi Risk Indicators
The analysis of VictoryShares Multi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VictoryShares Multi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting victoryshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4757 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4281 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6133 | |||
| Variance | 0.3762 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3424 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1833 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VictoryShares Multi to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
The market value of VictoryShares Multi is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VictoryShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VictoryShares Multi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VictoryShares Multi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VictoryShares Multi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VictoryShares Multi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VictoryShares Multi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VictoryShares Multi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VictoryShares Multi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.