Vista Oil Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

VSOGF Stock  USD 48.85  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Vista Oil Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 54.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.98. Vista Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vista Oil's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Vista Oil price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Vista Oil Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Vista Oil Gas on the next trading day is expected to be 54.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.84, mean absolute percentage error of 19.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vista Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vista Oil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vista Oil Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vista OilVista Oil Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vista Oil Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vista Oil's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vista Oil's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.26 and 60.16, respectively. We have considered Vista Oil's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
48.85
54.21
Expected Value
60.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vista Oil pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vista Oil pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.0779
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.8358
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0906
SAESum of the absolute errors233.9824
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Vista Oil Gas historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Vista Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vista Oil Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.9048.8554.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.0352.9858.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
30.1444.3758.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vista Oil. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vista Oil's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vista Oil's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vista Oil Gas.

Other Forecasting Options for Vista Oil

For every potential investor in Vista, whether a beginner or expert, Vista Oil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vista Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vista. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vista Oil's price trends.

Vista Oil Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vista Oil pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vista Oil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vista Oil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vista Oil Gas Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vista Oil's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vista Oil's current price.

Vista Oil Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vista Oil pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vista Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vista Oil pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vista Oil Gas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vista Oil Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vista Oil's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vista Oil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vista pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Vista Pink Sheet

When determining whether Vista Oil Gas is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Vista Pink Sheet is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Vista Oil Gas Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Vista Oil Gas Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vista Oil to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vista Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vista Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vista Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.