Vision Technology Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VSTCQ Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Vision Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Vision Technology's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vision Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vision Technology Corp from the perspective of Vision Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vision Technology Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Vision Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vision Technology to cross-verify your projections. Vision Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vision price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vision using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vision charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vision Technology Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vision Technology Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vision Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vision Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vision Technology | Vision Technology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Vision Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vision Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vision Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Vision Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vision Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vision Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Vision Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vision Technology Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vision Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vision Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vision Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vision Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vision Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vision Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vision Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vision Technology's historical news coverage. Vision Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Vision Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vision Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vision Technology Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vision Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vision Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vision Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vision Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Vision Technology Hype Timeline
Vision Technology Corp is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vision is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vision Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Vision Technology Corp had 1:2 split on the 31st of July 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vision Technology to cross-verify your projections.Vision Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vision Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vision Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Vision Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vision Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSQH | PSQ Holdings | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 6.67 | (8.53) | 19.40 | |
| QH | Quhuo | 0.01 | 7 per month | 6.49 | 0.03 | 21.00 | (10.48) | 65.89 | |
| API | Agora Inc | 0.13 | 11 per month | 2.45 | 0.09 | 4.88 | (4.71) | 15.98 | |
| IDN | Intellicheck Mobilisa | 0.13 | 10 per month | 3.44 | 0.03 | 5.94 | (5.49) | 47.19 | |
| SAIH | SAIHEAT Limited | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.43 | (9.03) | 51.10 | |
| SOGP | Lizhi Inc | 1.97 | 3 per month | 4.98 | 0 | 10.82 | (10.01) | 37.07 | |
| CMTL | Comtech Telecommunications Corp | 0.02 | 8 per month | 4.02 | 0.19 | 10.68 | (6.75) | 27.66 | |
| ATHR | Aether Holdings | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.88 | (6.94) | 25.31 | |
| GCTS | GCT Semiconductor Holding | (0.12) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.62 | (6.78) | 35.21 | |
| UPLD | Upland Software | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 5.23 | (6.13) | 13.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vision Technology
For every potential investor in Vision, whether a beginner or expert, Vision Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vision Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vision. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vision Technology's price trends.Vision Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vision Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vision Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vision Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vision Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vision Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vision Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vision Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vision Technology Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Vision Technology
The number of cover stories for Vision Technology depends on current market conditions and Vision Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vision Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vision Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Vision Stock Analysis
When running Vision Technology's price analysis, check to measure Vision Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vision Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Vision Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vision Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vision Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vision Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.