Vulcan Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

VULNF Stock  USD 5.25  0.84  19.05%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Vulcan Energy Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 4.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.65. Vulcan Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vulcan Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Vulcan Energy price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Vulcan Energy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Vulcan Energy Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 4.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vulcan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vulcan Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vulcan Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Vulcan Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vulcan Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vulcan Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 13.73, respectively. We have considered Vulcan Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.25
4.15
Expected Value
13.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vulcan Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vulcan Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0821
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2566
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0789
SAESum of the absolute errors15.6541
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Vulcan Energy Resources historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Vulcan Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vulcan Energy Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.265.2514.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.234.5314.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vulcan Energy

For every potential investor in Vulcan, whether a beginner or expert, Vulcan Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vulcan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vulcan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vulcan Energy's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vulcan Energy Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vulcan Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vulcan Energy's current price.

Vulcan Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vulcan Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vulcan Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vulcan Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vulcan Energy Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vulcan Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vulcan Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vulcan Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vulcan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Vulcan Pink Sheet

Vulcan Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vulcan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vulcan with respect to the benefits of owning Vulcan Energy security.