Verizon Communications Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VZ Stock  ARS 15,620  10.00  0.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Verizon Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 15,653 with a mean absolute deviation of 170.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,411. Verizon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Verizon Communications stock prices and determine the direction of Verizon Communications's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Verizon Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Verizon Communications' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Verizon Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Verizon Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Verizon Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verizon Communications from the perspective of Verizon Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Verizon Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 15,653 with a mean absolute deviation of 170.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,411.

Verizon Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  ARS 15620.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Verizon Communications to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Verizon Stock refer to our How to Trade Verizon Stock guide.

Verizon Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Verizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Verizon Communications is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Verizon Communications value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Verizon Communications Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Verizon Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 15,653 with a mean absolute deviation of 170.68, mean absolute percentage error of 56,229, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10,411.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Verizon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Verizon Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Verizon Communications Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Verizon CommunicationsVerizon Communications Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Verizon Communications Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Verizon Communications' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Verizon Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15,651 and 15,655, respectively. We have considered Verizon Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15,620
15,651
Downside
15,653
Expected Value
15,655
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Verizon Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Verizon Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.0477
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation170.6796
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0111
SAESum of the absolute errors10411.4558
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Verizon Communications. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Verizon Communications. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Verizon Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verizon Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15,61815,62015,622
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,00313,00517,182
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15,09215,50815,923
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Verizon Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Verizon Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Verizon Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Verizon Communications.

Other Forecasting Options for Verizon Communications

For every potential investor in Verizon, whether a beginner or expert, Verizon Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Verizon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Verizon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Verizon Communications' price trends.

Verizon Communications Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Verizon Communications stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Verizon Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Verizon Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Verizon Communications Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Verizon Communications' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Verizon Communications' current price.

Verizon Communications Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Verizon Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Verizon Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Verizon Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Verizon Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Verizon Communications Risk Indicators

The analysis of Verizon Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Verizon Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verizon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Verizon Stock

When determining whether Verizon Communications offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Verizon Communications' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Verizon Communications Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Verizon Communications Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Verizon Communications to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Verizon Stock refer to our How to Trade Verizon Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verizon Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verizon Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verizon Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.