Verizon Communications Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| VZ Stock | USD 39.48 0.24 0.61% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Verizon Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 39.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.26. Verizon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Verizon Communications' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0904 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6855 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.7789 | Wall Street Target Price 47.3095 |
Using Verizon Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verizon Communications from the perspective of Verizon Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verizon Communications using Verizon Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verizon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verizon Communications' stock price.
Verizon Communications Short Interest
An investor who is long Verizon Communications may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Verizon Communications and may potentially protect profits, hedge Verizon Communications with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 42.1967 | Short Percent 0.0282 | Short Ratio 5.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 114.3 M | 50 Day MA 40.4556 |
Verizon Communications Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Verizon Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Verizon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Verizon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Verizon Communications. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Verizon Communications Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
Verizon Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verizon Communications stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verizon Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verizon Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verizon Communications' options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Verizon Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 39.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.26. Verizon Communications after-hype prediction price | USD 39.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Verizon Communications to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Verizon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Verizon Communications will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0181% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Verizon Communications trading at USD 39.48, that is roughly USD 0.007156 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Verizon Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Verizon Communications options at the current volatility level of 0.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Verizon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Verizon Communications' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Verizon Communications' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Verizon Communications stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Verizon Communications' open interest, investors have to compare it to Verizon Communications' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Verizon Communications is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Verizon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Verizon Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Verizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Verizon Communications Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Verizon Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 39.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Verizon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Verizon Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Verizon Communications Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Verizon Communications | Verizon Communications Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Verizon Communications Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Verizon Communications' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Verizon Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.33 and 40.56, respectively. We have considered Verizon Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Verizon Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Verizon Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0629 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3265 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0082 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.2618 |
Predictive Modules for Verizon Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verizon Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Verizon Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Verizon Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verizon Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verizon Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Verizon Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Verizon Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verizon Communications' historical news coverage. Verizon Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.35 and 40.57, respectively. We have considered Verizon Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Verizon Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verizon Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Verizon Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verizon Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verizon Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verizon Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.11 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.48 | 39.46 | 0.05 |
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Verizon Communications Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Verizon Communications is listed for 39.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Verizon is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Verizon Communications is about 338.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.49. About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Verizon Communications has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2026. The firm had 1000000:937889 split on the 2nd of July 2010. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Verizon Communications to cross-verify your projections.Verizon Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Verizon Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verizon Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Verizon Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verizon Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| T | ATT Inc | 0.28 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.53 | (1.85) | 4.30 | |
| DIS | Walt Disney | 2.62 | 2 per month | 1.80 | (0.03) | 2.22 | (1.95) | 10.07 | |
| MRT | Marti Technologies | (0.01) | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.03) | 7.59 | (4.02) | 20.77 | |
| TIMB | TIM Participacoes SA | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.03 | 3.06 | (2.72) | 8.26 | |
| CCCC | C4 Therapeutics | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.16 | (7.32) | 24.93 | |
| HOLO | MicroCloud Hologram | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.57 | (8.22) | 15.30 | |
| IMMR | Immersion | 0.13 | 12 per month | 2.19 | (0.03) | 4.57 | (3.90) | 22.47 | |
| ABSOF | ABS CBN Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.12 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 | |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.12 | (2.93) | 10.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Verizon Communications
For every potential investor in Verizon, whether a beginner or expert, Verizon Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Verizon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Verizon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Verizon Communications' price trends.Verizon Communications Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Verizon Communications stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Verizon Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Verizon Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Verizon Communications Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Verizon Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Verizon Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Verizon Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Verizon Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Verizon Communications Risk Indicators
The analysis of Verizon Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Verizon Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verizon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9018 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Verizon Communications
The number of cover stories for Verizon Communications depends on current market conditions and Verizon Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verizon Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verizon Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Verizon Communications Short Properties
Verizon Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Verizon Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verizon Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verizon Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verizon Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 B |
Additional Tools for Verizon Stock Analysis
When running Verizon Communications' price analysis, check to measure Verizon Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verizon Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Verizon Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verizon Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verizon Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verizon Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.