Australian Wealth Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

WAG Etf   0.31  0.01  3.33%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Australian Wealth on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24. Australian Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Australian Wealth works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Australian Wealth Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Australian Wealth on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000065, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Australian Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Australian Wealth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Australian Wealth Etf Forecast Pattern

Australian Wealth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Australian Wealth's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Australian Wealth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.09, respectively. We have considered Australian Wealth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.31
0.31
Expected Value
3.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Australian Wealth etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Australian Wealth etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.001
MADMean absolute deviation0.004
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0137
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2412
When The Australian Wealth prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any The Australian Wealth trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Australian Wealth observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Australian Wealth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Wealth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.313.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.293.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Australian Wealth

For every potential investor in Australian, whether a beginner or expert, Australian Wealth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Australian Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Australian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Australian Wealth's price trends.

Australian Wealth Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Australian Wealth etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Australian Wealth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Australian Wealth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Australian Wealth Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Australian Wealth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Australian Wealth's current price.

Australian Wealth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Australian Wealth etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Australian Wealth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Australian Wealth etf market strength indicators, traders can identify The Australian Wealth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Australian Wealth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Australian Wealth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Australian Wealth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting australian etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Other Information on Investing in Australian Etf

Australian Wealth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Australian Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Australian with respect to the benefits of owning Australian Wealth security.