Waldencast Acquisition Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| WALDW Stock | USD 0.04 0 2.56% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Waldencast Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11. Waldencast Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Waldencast Acquisition's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.005 |
Using Waldencast Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Waldencast Acquisition Corp from the perspective of Waldencast Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Waldencast Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11. Waldencast Acquisition after-hype prediction price | USD 0.046 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Waldencast Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Waldencast price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Waldencast using various technical indicators. When you analyze Waldencast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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Waldencast Acquisition Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Waldencast Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000017, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Waldencast Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Waldencast Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Waldencast Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Waldencast Acquisition | Waldencast Acquisition Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Waldencast Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Waldencast Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Waldencast Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 8.68, respectively. We have considered Waldencast Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Waldencast Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Waldencast Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.2919 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0019 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0428 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1146 |
Predictive Modules for Waldencast Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waldencast Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Waldencast Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Waldencast Acquisition After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Waldencast Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Waldencast Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Waldencast Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Waldencast Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Waldencast Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Waldencast Acquisition's historical news coverage. Waldencast Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.69, respectively. We have considered Waldencast Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Waldencast Acquisition is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Waldencast Acquisition is based on 3 months time horizon.
Waldencast Acquisition Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Waldencast Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Waldencast Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Waldencast Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 8.64 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.04 | 0.05 | 15.07 |
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Waldencast Acquisition Hype Timeline
Waldencast Acquisition is at this time traded for 0.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Waldencast is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.046 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 15.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Waldencast Acquisition is about 3756.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.04. Waldencast Acquisition Corp has accumulated 182.11 M in total debt. Waldencast Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Waldencast Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Waldencast Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.Waldencast Acquisition Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Waldencast Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Waldencast Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Waldencast Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Waldencast Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COE | 51Talk Online Education | (1.79) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 5.54 | (10.63) | 24.35 | |
| ULY | Urgently Common Stock | (0.03) | 10 per month | 5.61 | 0.0003 | 15.23 | (10.00) | 67.64 | |
| AUUD | Auddia Inc | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 15.15 | (12.93) | 36.34 | |
| OBLG | Oblong Inc | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.66 | (11.03) | 37.07 | |
| MYSZ | My Size | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 11.39 | (8.25) | 26.97 | |
| BIYA | Baiya International Group | (0.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 16.71 | (17.48) | 93.44 | |
| MASK | 3 E Network | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 27.27 | (17.07) | 63.36 | |
| APCX | Apptech Corp | (0.50) | 24 per month | 7.71 | 0.17 | 21.62 | (10.81) | 95.15 | |
| OLB | OLB Group | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 10.53 | (8.77) | 28.64 | |
| BOXL | Boxlight Corp Class | 0.22 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 7.82 | (15.48) | 28.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Waldencast Acquisition
For every potential investor in Waldencast, whether a beginner or expert, Waldencast Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Waldencast Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Waldencast. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Waldencast Acquisition's price trends.Waldencast Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Waldencast Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Waldencast Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Waldencast Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Waldencast Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Waldencast Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Waldencast Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Waldencast Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Waldencast Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.001 |
Waldencast Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Waldencast Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Waldencast Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting waldencast stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.96 | |||
| Variance | 80.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 170.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 42.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Waldencast Acquisition
The number of cover stories for Waldencast Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Waldencast Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Waldencast Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Waldencast Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Waldencast Acquisition Short Properties
Waldencast Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when Waldencast Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Waldencast Acquisition Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Waldencast Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waldencast Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.8 M |
Additional Tools for Waldencast Stock Analysis
When running Waldencast Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Waldencast Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Waldencast Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Waldencast Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Waldencast Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Waldencast Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Waldencast Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.