WANdisco Plc Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

WANSF Stock  USD 0.25  0.01  3.85%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WANdisco plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.49. WANdisco Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WANdisco Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for WANdisco Plc works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

WANdisco Plc Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WANdisco plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WANdisco Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WANdisco Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WANdisco Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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WANdisco Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WANdisco Plc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WANdisco Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 153.12, respectively. We have considered WANdisco Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.25
0.24
Expected Value
153.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WANdisco Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WANdisco Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0128
MADMean absolute deviation0.0423
MAPEMean absolute percentage error3.3231
SAESum of the absolute errors2.494
When WANdisco plc prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any WANdisco plc trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent WANdisco Plc observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for WANdisco Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WANdisco plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WANdisco Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2562.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.2362.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WANdisco Plc

For every potential investor in WANdisco, whether a beginner or expert, WANdisco Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WANdisco Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WANdisco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WANdisco Plc's price trends.

WANdisco Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WANdisco Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WANdisco Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WANdisco Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WANdisco plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WANdisco Plc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WANdisco Plc's current price.

WANdisco Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WANdisco Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WANdisco Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WANdisco Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify WANdisco plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WANdisco Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of WANdisco Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WANdisco Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wandisco pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in WANdisco Pink Sheet

WANdisco Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether WANdisco Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WANdisco with respect to the benefits of owning WANdisco Plc security.