Weibo Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| WB Stock | USD 10.77 0.12 1.10% |
Weibo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Weibo Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Weibo Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Weibo Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Weibo Corp's share price is at 50. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Weibo Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.66 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3454 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7382 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.75 | Wall Street Target Price 11.7294 |
Using Weibo Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Weibo Corp from the perspective of Weibo Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Weibo Corp using Weibo Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Weibo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Weibo Corp's stock price.
Weibo Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Weibo Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Weibo. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Weibo Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 10.2444 | Short Percent 0.1528 | Short Ratio 14.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.4 M | 50 Day MA 10.3306 |
Weibo Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Weibo Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.13.Weibo Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Weibo Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Weibo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Weibo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Weibo Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Weibo Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Weibo Corp.
Weibo Corp Implied Volatility | 1.32 |
Weibo Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Weibo Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Weibo Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Weibo Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Weibo Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Weibo Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.13. Weibo Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 10.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Weibo Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Weibo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Weibo Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0825% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Weibo Corp trading at USD 10.77, that is roughly USD 0.008885 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Weibo Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Weibo Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Weibo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Weibo Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Weibo Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Weibo Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Weibo Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Weibo Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Weibo Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Weibo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Weibo Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Weibo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Weibo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Weibo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Weibo Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Weibo Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Weibo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Weibo Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Weibo Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Weibo Corp | Weibo Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Weibo Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Weibo Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Weibo Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.01 and 12.53, respectively. We have considered Weibo Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Weibo Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Weibo Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8683 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0085 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1355 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0129 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.13 |
Predictive Modules for Weibo Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weibo Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Weibo Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Weibo Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Weibo Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Weibo Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Weibo Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Weibo Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Weibo Corp's historical news coverage. Weibo Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.01 and 12.53, respectively. We have considered Weibo Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Weibo Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Weibo Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Weibo Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Weibo Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Weibo Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Weibo Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.76 | 0.34 | 0.09 | 3 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.77 | 10.77 | 0.00 |
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Weibo Corp Hype Timeline
As of January 25, 2026 Weibo Corp is listed for 10.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Weibo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 46.93%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Weibo Corp is about 167.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.86. About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.68. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Weibo Corp last dividend was issued on the 9th of April 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Weibo Corp to cross-verify your projections.Weibo Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Weibo Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Weibo Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Weibo Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Weibo Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IAC | IAC Inc | 3.75 | 3 per month | 1.40 | 0.12 | 2.49 | (2.35) | 6.38 | |
| GENI | Genius Sports | (0.33) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.45 | (4.52) | 18.19 | |
| JOYY | JOYY Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.09 | 3.03 | (2.70) | 10.63 | |
| YELP | Yelp Inc | 3.75 | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.45 | (3.53) | 12.51 | |
| KYIV | Kyivstar Group Ltd | (0.27) | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.07 | (5.98) | 18.64 | |
| DOYU | DouYu International Holdings | 3.75 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.58 | (3.41) | 11.18 | |
| TGNA | Tegna Inc | (0.32) | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.31 | (1.11) | 5.07 | |
| MGNI | Magnite | 0.26 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.42 | (5.69) | 17.22 | |
| CNK | Cinemark Holdings | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.27 | (6.06) | 17.00 | |
| DJT | Trump Media Technology | 0.12 | 9 per month | 3.76 | (0.01) | 4.67 | (5.28) | 52.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Weibo Corp
For every potential investor in Weibo, whether a beginner or expert, Weibo Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Weibo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Weibo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Weibo Corp's price trends.Weibo Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Weibo Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Weibo Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Weibo Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Weibo Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Weibo Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Weibo Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Weibo Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Weibo Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Weibo Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Weibo Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Weibo Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting weibo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Weibo Corp
The number of cover stories for Weibo Corp depends on current market conditions and Weibo Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Weibo Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Weibo Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Weibo Corp Short Properties
Weibo Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Weibo Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Weibo Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Weibo Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weibo Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 265.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Weibo Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Weibo Stock refer to our How to Trade Weibo Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Weibo Corp. If investors know Weibo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Weibo Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.66 | Dividend Share 0.82 | Earnings Share 1.75 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Weibo Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Weibo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Weibo Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Weibo Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Weibo Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Weibo Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Weibo Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Weibo Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Weibo Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.