Wesdome Gold OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

WDOFF Stock  USD 8.62  0.05  0.58%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wesdome Gold Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.41. Wesdome OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wesdome Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Wesdome Gold - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Wesdome Gold prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Wesdome Gold price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Wesdome Gold Mines.

Wesdome Gold Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wesdome Gold Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 8.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wesdome OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wesdome Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wesdome Gold OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wesdome Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wesdome Gold's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wesdome Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.12 and 11.23, respectively. We have considered Wesdome Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.62
8.68
Expected Value
11.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wesdome Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wesdome Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0281
MADMean absolute deviation0.1934
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.021
SAESum of the absolute errors11.4106
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Wesdome Gold observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Wesdome Gold Mines observations.

Predictive Modules for Wesdome Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wesdome Gold Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.078.6211.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.338.8811.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wesdome Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wesdome Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wesdome Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wesdome Gold Mines.

Other Forecasting Options for Wesdome Gold

For every potential investor in Wesdome, whether a beginner or expert, Wesdome Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wesdome OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wesdome. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wesdome Gold's price trends.

Wesdome Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wesdome Gold otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wesdome Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wesdome Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wesdome Gold Mines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wesdome Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wesdome Gold's current price.

Wesdome Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wesdome Gold otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wesdome Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wesdome Gold otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wesdome Gold Mines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wesdome Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wesdome Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wesdome Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wesdome otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Wesdome OTC Stock

Wesdome Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wesdome OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wesdome with respect to the benefits of owning Wesdome Gold security.