Webster Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| WED Stock | EUR 60.50 1.00 1.68% |
Webster Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Webster Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Webster Financial's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.534 | Wall Street Target Price 60.91 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.182 |
Using Webster Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Webster Financial from the perspective of Webster Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Webster Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 60.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.36. Webster Financial after-hype prediction price | EUR 60.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Webster |
Webster Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Webster price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Webster using various technical indicators. When you analyze Webster charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Webster Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Webster Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 60.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Webster Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Webster Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Webster Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Webster Financial | Webster Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Webster Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Webster Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Webster Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.51 and 62.49, respectively. We have considered Webster Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Webster Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Webster Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5834 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2994 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8394 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0156 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 50.365 |
Predictive Modules for Webster Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Webster Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Webster Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Webster Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Webster Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Webster Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Webster Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Webster Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Webster Financial's historical news coverage. Webster Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.11 and 62.13, respectively. We have considered Webster Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Webster Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Webster Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Webster Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Webster Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Webster Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Webster Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.99 | 0.36 | 5.41 | 12 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.50 | 60.12 | 0.63 |
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Webster Financial Hype Timeline
Webster Financial is at this time traded for 60.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -5.41. Webster is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 60.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 199.0%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.63%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Webster Financial is about 13.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.09. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.12. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Webster Financial last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Webster Financial to cross-verify your projections.Webster Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Webster Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Webster Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Webster Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Webster Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAO | CONAGRA FOODS | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.01 | 2.14 | (1.95) | 6.39 | |
| XSFA | SENECA FOODS A | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.88 | (3.89) | 13.36 | |
| BWGA | BELL FOOD GRP | 1.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.50 | (2.71) | 6.97 | |
| UAO | Sterling Construction | (6.60) | 6 per month | 5.59 | (0.01) | 5.47 | (8.37) | 19.81 | |
| DFA1 | Dairy Farm International | (100.00) | 8 per month | 1.80 | 0.13 | 4.26 | (2.96) | 11.48 | |
| PO6 | Penta Ocean Construction Co | 0.25 | 6 per month | 2.17 | 0.1 | 4.60 | (3.80) | 11.87 | |
| T4H | TreeHouse Foods | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.10 | 0.10 | 2.00 | (1.96) | 28.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Webster Financial
For every potential investor in Webster, whether a beginner or expert, Webster Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Webster Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Webster. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Webster Financial's price trends.Webster Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Webster Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Webster Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Webster Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Webster Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Webster Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Webster Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Webster Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Webster Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 60.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 60.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 |
Webster Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Webster Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Webster Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting webster stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Variance | 3.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Webster Financial
The number of cover stories for Webster Financial depends on current market conditions and Webster Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Webster Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Webster Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Webster Financial Short Properties
Webster Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Webster Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Webster Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Webster Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Webster Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 291.2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.33 | |
| Shares Float | 159.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Webster Financial to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Webster Stock please use our How to Invest in Webster Financial guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.