WEMIX Crypto Coin Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

WEMIX Crypto  USD 0.31  0.01  3.13%   
WEMIX Crypto Coin outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WEMIX crypto prices and determine the direction of WEMIX's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of WEMIX's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of WEMIX's share price is approaching 41. This entails that the crypto coin is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling WEMIX, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of WEMIX's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with WEMIX, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using WEMIX hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WEMIX from the perspective of WEMIX response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WEMIX on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55.

WEMIX after-hype prediction price

    
  .CC 0.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WEMIX to cross-verify your projections.

WEMIX Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine WEMIX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WEMIX using various technical indicators. When you analyze WEMIX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
WEMIX simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for WEMIX are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as WEMIX prices get older.

WEMIX Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WEMIX on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WEMIX Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WEMIX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WEMIX Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

WEMIX Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WEMIX's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WEMIX's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.51, respectively. We have considered WEMIX's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.31
0.31
Expected Value
4.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WEMIX crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WEMIX crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.8278
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0035
MADMean absolute deviation0.0092
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0253
SAESum of the absolute errors0.55
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting WEMIX forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent WEMIX observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for WEMIX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WEMIX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WEMIX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.314.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.304.50
Details

WEMIX After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of WEMIX at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WEMIX or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of WEMIX, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

WEMIX Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting WEMIX's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on WEMIX's historical news coverage. WEMIX's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 4.51, respectively. We have considered WEMIX's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.31
0.31
After-hype Price
4.51
Upside
WEMIX is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of WEMIX is based on 3 months time horizon.

WEMIX Crypto Coin Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as WEMIX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WEMIX backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WEMIX, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.46 
4.20
 0.00  
  0.14 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.31
0.31
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

WEMIX Hype Timeline

WEMIX is at this time traded for 0.31. This cryptocurrency is not elastic to its hype. The average crypto elasticity to the hype of similar coins is -0.14. WEMIX is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on WEMIX is about 1391.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.17. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WEMIX to cross-verify your projections.

WEMIX Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to WEMIX's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WEMIX's future price movements. Getting to know how WEMIX's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WEMIX may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for WEMIX

For every potential investor in WEMIX, whether a beginner or expert, WEMIX's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WEMIX Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WEMIX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WEMIX's price trends.

WEMIX Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WEMIX crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WEMIX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WEMIX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WEMIX Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WEMIX crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WEMIX shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WEMIX crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify WEMIX entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WEMIX Risk Indicators

The analysis of WEMIX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WEMIX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wemix crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for WEMIX

The number of cover stories for WEMIX depends on current market conditions and WEMIX's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that WEMIX is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about WEMIX's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether WEMIX offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WEMIX's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wemix Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WEMIX to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WEMIX's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine WEMIX value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, WEMIX's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.