Wells Fargo Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| WFC Stock | USD 86.96 1.08 1.23% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wells Fargo on the next trading day is expected to be 85.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.30. Wells Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Wells Fargo stock prices and determine the direction of Wells Fargo's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wells Fargo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Wells Fargo's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.13 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5475 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.9932 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.9547 | Wall Street Target Price 100.6 |
Using Wells Fargo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wells Fargo from the perspective of Wells Fargo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wells Fargo using Wells Fargo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wells using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wells Fargo's stock price.
Wells Fargo Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Wells Fargo's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Wells. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Wells Fargo stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 81.1797 | Short Percent 0.0122 | Short Ratio 2.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 42.7 M | 50 Day MA 89.9154 |
Wells Fargo Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Wells Fargo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Wells. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wells can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Wells Fargo. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Wells Fargo Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Wells Fargo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wells Fargo stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wells Fargo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wells Fargo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wells Fargo's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wells Fargo on the next trading day is expected to be 85.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.30. Wells Fargo after-hype prediction price | USD 86.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wells Fargo to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wells contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Wells Fargo will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Wells Fargo trading at USD 86.96, that is roughly USD 0.0212 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wells Fargo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Wells Fargo options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Wells Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Wells Fargo's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Wells Fargo's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Wells Fargo stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Wells Fargo's open interest, investors have to compare it to Wells Fargo's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Wells Fargo is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Wells. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Wells Fargo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wells price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wells using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wells charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wells Fargo Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Wells Fargo's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1989-12-31 | Previous Quarter 174.3 B | Current Value 39.2 B | Quarterly Volatility 80.8 B |
Wells Fargo Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wells Fargo on the next trading day is expected to be 85.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wells Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wells Fargo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wells Fargo Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wells Fargo | Wells Fargo Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wells Fargo Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wells Fargo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wells Fargo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 83.97 and 86.58, respectively. We have considered Wells Fargo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wells Fargo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wells Fargo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4912 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9722 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0108 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 59.3019 |
Predictive Modules for Wells Fargo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wells Fargo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wells Fargo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wells Fargo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wells Fargo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wells Fargo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wells Fargo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wells Fargo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wells Fargo's historical news coverage. Wells Fargo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.61 and 88.25, respectively. We have considered Wells Fargo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wells Fargo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wells Fargo is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wells Fargo Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wells Fargo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wells Fargo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wells Fargo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.31 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
86.96 | 86.93 | 0.03 |
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Wells Fargo Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Wells Fargo is traded for 86.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Wells is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 86.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 75.72%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Wells Fargo is about 176.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.95. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wells Fargo has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.85. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.26. The firm last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2025. Wells Fargo had 2:1 split on the 14th of August 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wells Fargo to cross-verify your projections.Wells Fargo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wells Fargo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wells Fargo's future price movements. Getting to know how Wells Fargo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wells Fargo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAC | Bank of America | (0.10) | 7 per month | 1.35 | (0.06) | 1.68 | (2.16) | 5.64 | |
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.00 | (3.11) | 7.38 | |
| TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.34 | 0.23 | 1.66 | (1.15) | 4.14 | |
| NU | Nu Holdings | 0.03 | 6 per month | 1.61 | 0.09 | 4.33 | (2.70) | 10.26 | |
| C | Citigroup | (5.50) | 7 per month | 1.59 | 0.09 | 2.81 | (2.24) | 8.93 | |
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank | 1.25 | 9 per month | 0.87 | 0.14 | 1.42 | (1.62) | 6.42 | |
| BMO | Bank of Montreal | (0.33) | 11 per month | 0.95 | 0.07 | 1.86 | (1.68) | 4.05 | |
| BNS | Bank of Nova | (1.46) | 10 per month | 0.72 | 0.19 | 1.65 | (1.04) | 6.23 | |
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | (0.46) | 16 per month | 0.91 | 0.26 | 2.85 | (2.06) | 7.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wells Fargo
For every potential investor in Wells, whether a beginner or expert, Wells Fargo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wells Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wells. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wells Fargo's price trends.Wells Fargo Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wells Fargo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wells Fargo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wells Fargo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wells Fargo Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wells Fargo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wells Fargo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wells Fargo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wells Fargo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Wells Fargo Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wells Fargo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wells Fargo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wells stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9829 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wells Fargo
The number of cover stories for Wells Fargo depends on current market conditions and Wells Fargo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wells Fargo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wells Fargo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wells Fargo Short Properties
Wells Fargo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wells Fargo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wells Fargo often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wells Fargo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wells Fargo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 252.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wells Fargo to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Wells Stock refer to our How to Trade Wells Stock guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.13 | Dividend Share 1.7 | Earnings Share 6.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 |
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wells Fargo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.