Whitehaven Coal Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| WHITF Stock | USD 6.35 0.25 4.10% |
Whitehaven Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Whitehaven Coal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Whitehaven Coal's pink sheet price is roughly 66. This entails that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 3rd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Whitehaven, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Whitehaven Coal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Whitehaven Coal Limited from the perspective of Whitehaven Coal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Whitehaven Coal Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 6.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.81. Whitehaven Coal after-hype prediction price | USD 6.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Whitehaven |
Whitehaven Coal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Whitehaven price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Whitehaven using various technical indicators. When you analyze Whitehaven charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Whitehaven Coal Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Whitehaven Coal Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 6.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Whitehaven Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Whitehaven Coal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Whitehaven Coal Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Whitehaven Coal | Whitehaven Coal Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Whitehaven Coal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Whitehaven Coal's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Whitehaven Coal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.68 and 9.15, respectively. We have considered Whitehaven Coal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Whitehaven Coal pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Whitehaven Coal pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0199 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0968 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.8088 |
Predictive Modules for Whitehaven Coal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Whitehaven Coal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Whitehaven Coal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Whitehaven Coal After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Whitehaven Coal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Whitehaven Coal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Whitehaven Coal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Whitehaven Coal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Whitehaven Coal's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Whitehaven Coal's historical news coverage. Whitehaven Coal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.19 and 9.65, respectively. We have considered Whitehaven Coal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Whitehaven Coal is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Whitehaven Coal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Whitehaven Coal Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Whitehaven Coal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Whitehaven Coal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Whitehaven Coal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 2.73 | 0.57 | 0.09 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.35 | 6.92 | 8.98 |
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Whitehaven Coal Hype Timeline
Whitehaven Coal is at this time traded for 6.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Whitehaven is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 8.98%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Whitehaven Coal is about 1838.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.44. The company has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.3339 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.3339 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on equity (ROE) of 0.5644 %, meaning that it generated $0.5644 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Whitehaven Coal's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Whitehaven Coal manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Whitehaven Coal to cross-verify your projections.Whitehaven Coal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Whitehaven Coal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Whitehaven Coal's future price movements. Getting to know how Whitehaven Coal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Whitehaven Coal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXXAF | Exxaro Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NHPEF | New Hope | 0.97 | 3 per month | 2.38 | 0.07 | 6.59 | (5.03) | 19.63 | |
| ADOOY | Adaro Energy Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.73 | 0.03 | 6.88 | (8.95) | 22.65 | |
| TNGRF | Thungela Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.23 | 0.18 | 5.48 | (4.66) | 14.69 | |
| YACAF | Yancoal Australia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | 0.07 | 5.36 | (4.83) | 15.62 | |
| CCOZF | China Coal Energy | 0.97 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.20 | |
| CCOZY | China Coal Energy | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.42 | |
| TBNGY | Bukit Asam Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.40 | (4.74) | 33.92 | |
| PADEF | PT Adaro Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ITAYY | Indo Tambangraya Megah | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.45 | (2.63) | 13.08 | |
| GRYRF | Geo Energy Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88 | |
| TERCF | TerraCom Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 18.18 | (18.75) | 52.08 | |
| YZCHF | Yanzhou Coal Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Whitehaven Coal
For every potential investor in Whitehaven, whether a beginner or expert, Whitehaven Coal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Whitehaven Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Whitehaven. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Whitehaven Coal's price trends.Whitehaven Coal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Whitehaven Coal pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Whitehaven Coal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Whitehaven Coal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Whitehaven Coal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Whitehaven Coal pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Whitehaven Coal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Whitehaven Coal pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Whitehaven Coal Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Whitehaven Coal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Whitehaven Coal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Whitehaven Coal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting whitehaven pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Variance | 7.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Whitehaven Coal
The number of cover stories for Whitehaven Coal depends on current market conditions and Whitehaven Coal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Whitehaven Coal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Whitehaven Coal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Whitehaven Pink Sheet
Whitehaven Coal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Whitehaven Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Whitehaven with respect to the benefits of owning Whitehaven Coal security.