Chase Packaging Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

WHLT Stock  USD 0.09  0.06  164.09%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chase Packaging Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.91. Chase Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Chase Packaging is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Chase Packaging Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Chase Packaging Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Chase Packaging Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chase Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chase Packaging's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Chase Packaging Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Chase Packaging Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Chase Packaging's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chase Packaging's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 44.68, respectively. We have considered Chase Packaging's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.09
Expected Value
44.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chase Packaging pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chase Packaging pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1624
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0149
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.4077
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9104
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Chase Packaging Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Chase Packaging. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Chase Packaging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chase Packaging Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0944.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0744.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.010.040.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Chase Packaging

For every potential investor in Chase, whether a beginner or expert, Chase Packaging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chase Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chase. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chase Packaging's price trends.

Chase Packaging Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chase Packaging pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chase Packaging could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chase Packaging by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Chase Packaging Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chase Packaging's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chase Packaging's current price.

Chase Packaging Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chase Packaging pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chase Packaging shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chase Packaging pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Chase Packaging Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Chase Packaging Risk Indicators

The analysis of Chase Packaging's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chase Packaging's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chase pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Chase Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Chase Packaging's price analysis, check to measure Chase Packaging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chase Packaging is operating at the current time. Most of Chase Packaging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chase Packaging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chase Packaging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chase Packaging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.