Wilmington International Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Wilmington International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wilmington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wilmington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wilmington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Wilmington International simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Wilmington International Fund are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Wilmington International prices get older.

Wilmington International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wilmington International Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 11.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.93.

Wilmington International Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Wilmington International Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wilmington International mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wilmington International mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Wilmington International Fund forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Wilmington International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Wilmington International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 10.41 11.53 12.65 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 11.16 12.28 13.40 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 10.71 11.18 11.66 Details

Wilmington International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Wilmington International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Wilmington International Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Wilmington International Hype Timeline

Wilmington International is at this time traded for 11.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Wilmington is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wilmington International is about 6720.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.53. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wilmington International to cross-verify your projections.

Wilmington International Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Wilmington International

For every potential investor in Wilmington, whether a beginner or expert, Wilmington International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wilmington Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wilmington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wilmington International's price trends.

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