Windfall Geotek Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Windfall Geotek Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Windfall price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Windfall using various technical indicators. When you analyze Windfall charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Windfall Geotek is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Windfall Geotek value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Windfall Geotek Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Windfall Geotek on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000911, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14.

Windfall Geotek Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Windfall Geotek Price Prediction

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Windfall Geotek Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Windfall Geotek pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Windfall Geotek pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Windfall Geotek. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Windfall Geotek. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Windfall Geotek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Windfall Geotek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.04 15.26 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.03 15.25 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.03 0.04 0.04 Details

Windfall Geotek After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Windfall Geotek Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Windfall Geotek Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Windfall Geotek Hype Timeline

Windfall Geotek is at this time traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Windfall is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -6.54%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.28%. The volatility of related hype on Windfall Geotek is about 761000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 0.02. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Windfall Geotek had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 7th of November 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Windfall Geotek to cross-verify your projections.

Windfall Geotek Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Windfall Geotek

For every potential investor in Windfall, whether a beginner or expert, Windfall Geotek's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Windfall Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Windfall. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Windfall Geotek's price trends.

Windfall Geotek Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Windfall Geotek Market Strength Events

Windfall Geotek Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Windfall Geotek

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Windfall Pink Sheet