PT Winner Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

WINR Stock   14.00  1.00  6.67%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PT Winner Nusantara on the next trading day is expected to be 14.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.00. WINR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for PT Winner is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

PT Winner Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PT Winner Nusantara on the next trading day is expected to be 14.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WINR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT Winner's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PT Winner Stock Forecast Pattern

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PT Winner Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PT Winner's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT Winner's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.96 and 18.04, respectively. We have considered PT Winner's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.00
14.00
Expected Value
18.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT Winner stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT Winner stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.275
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0847
MADMean absolute deviation0.3729
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0248
SAESum of the absolute errors22.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of PT Winner Nusantara price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of PT Winner. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for PT Winner

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Winner Nusantara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9614.0018.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3512.3916.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.6815.1417.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PT Winner

For every potential investor in WINR, whether a beginner or expert, PT Winner's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WINR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WINR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT Winner's price trends.

PT Winner Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT Winner stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT Winner could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Winner by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PT Winner Nusantara Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PT Winner's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PT Winner's current price.

PT Winner Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT Winner stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT Winner shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT Winner stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PT Winner Nusantara entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PT Winner Risk Indicators

The analysis of PT Winner's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT Winner's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting winr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in WINR Stock

PT Winner financial ratios help investors to determine whether WINR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WINR with respect to the benefits of owning PT Winner security.