Wickes Group Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

WIX Stock   235.00  2.00  0.84%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wickes Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 234.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.50. Wickes Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Wickes Group stock prices and determine the direction of Wickes Group PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wickes Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Wickes Group's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Wickes Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wickes Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wickes Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wickes Group PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Wickes Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wickes Group PLC from the perspective of Wickes Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wickes Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 234.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.50.

Wickes Group after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 235.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wickes Group to cross-verify your projections.

Wickes Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wickes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wickes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wickes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Wickes Group works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Wickes Group Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wickes Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 234.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.33, mean absolute percentage error of 9.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wickes Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wickes Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wickes Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Wickes GroupWickes Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Wickes Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wickes Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wickes Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 233.19 and 235.81, respectively. We have considered Wickes Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
235.00
233.19
Downside
234.50
Expected Value
235.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wickes Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wickes Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7373
MADMean absolute deviation2.3305
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0104
SAESum of the absolute errors137.5
When Wickes Group PLC prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Wickes Group PLC trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Wickes Group observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Wickes Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wickes Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
233.70235.00236.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
196.10197.40258.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
231.47235.73239.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wickes Group

For every potential investor in Wickes, whether a beginner or expert, Wickes Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wickes Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wickes. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wickes Group's price trends.

Wickes Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wickes Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wickes Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wickes Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wickes Group PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wickes Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wickes Group's current price.

Wickes Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wickes Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wickes Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wickes Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wickes Group PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wickes Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wickes Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wickes Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wickes stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Wickes Stock

Wickes Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wickes Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wickes with respect to the benefits of owning Wickes Group security.