Wacker Chemie Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

WKCMF Stock  USD 72.55  2.45  3.27%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wacker Chemie AG on the next trading day is expected to be 69.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.86. Wacker Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wacker Chemie's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Wacker Chemie polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Wacker Chemie AG as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Wacker Chemie Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wacker Chemie AG on the next trading day is expected to be 69.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83, mean absolute percentage error of 12.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wacker Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wacker Chemie's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wacker Chemie Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Wacker Chemie Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wacker Chemie's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wacker Chemie's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.88 and 71.94, respectively. We have considered Wacker Chemie's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
72.55
69.41
Expected Value
71.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wacker Chemie pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wacker Chemie pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6724
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.8337
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0311
SAESum of the absolute errors172.8555
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Wacker Chemie historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Wacker Chemie

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wacker Chemie AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.0272.5575.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.5667.0979.81
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wacker Chemie

For every potential investor in Wacker, whether a beginner or expert, Wacker Chemie's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wacker Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wacker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wacker Chemie's price trends.

Wacker Chemie Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wacker Chemie pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wacker Chemie could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wacker Chemie by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wacker Chemie AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wacker Chemie's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wacker Chemie's current price.

Wacker Chemie Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wacker Chemie pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wacker Chemie shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wacker Chemie pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Wacker Chemie AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wacker Chemie Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wacker Chemie's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wacker Chemie's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wacker pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Wacker Pink Sheet

Wacker Chemie financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wacker Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wacker with respect to the benefits of owning Wacker Chemie security.