Willow Lane Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| WLACW Stock | 4.00 0.02 0.50% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Willow Lane Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 3.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.63. Willow Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Willow Lane's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Willow Lane hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Willow Lane Acquisition from the perspective of Willow Lane response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Willow Lane Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 3.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.63. Willow Lane after-hype prediction price | USD 4.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Willow Lane to cross-verify your projections. Willow Lane Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Willow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Willow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Willow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Willow Lane Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Willow Lane Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 3.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Willow Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Willow Lane's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Willow Lane Stock Forecast Pattern
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Willow Lane Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Willow Lane's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Willow Lane's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 9.50, respectively. We have considered Willow Lane's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Willow Lane stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Willow Lane stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8508 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1579 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0431 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.6295 |
Predictive Modules for Willow Lane
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Willow Lane Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Willow Lane's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Willow Lane After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Willow Lane at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Willow Lane or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Willow Lane, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Willow Lane Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Willow Lane's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Willow Lane's historical news coverage. Willow Lane's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 10.00, respectively. We have considered Willow Lane's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Willow Lane is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Willow Lane Acquisition is based on 3 months time horizon.
Willow Lane Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Willow Lane is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Willow Lane backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Willow Lane, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 5.88 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.00 | 4.12 | 3.00 |
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Willow Lane Hype Timeline
Willow Lane Acquisition is at this time traded for 4.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Willow is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.12 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 3.0%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Willow Lane is about 3307.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.09. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Willow Lane to cross-verify your projections.Willow Lane Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Willow Lane's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Willow Lane's future price movements. Getting to know how Willow Lane's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Willow Lane may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESHA | ESH Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 3.84 | 0.03 | 7.48 | (5.13) | 53.87 | |
| ATMC | AlphaTime Acquisition Corp | 1.30 | 10 per month | 0.66 | 0.11 | 1.90 | (1.46) | 21.35 | |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 0.29 | (0.19) | 0.96 | |
| FORL | Four Leaf Acquisition | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.17 | |
| RTAC | Renatus Tactical Acquisition | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.81 | (1.30) | 4.67 | |
| QETA | Quetta Acquisition | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.74 | (0.06) | 1.65 | (1.14) | 7.10 | |
| BKHA | Black Hawk Acquisition | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.54 | (0.04) | 1.23 | (1.13) | 5.88 | |
| WINV | WinVest Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DMYY | dMY Squared Technology | 0.33 | 9 per month | 1.68 | (0.03) | 2.61 | (3.40) | 10.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Willow Lane
For every potential investor in Willow, whether a beginner or expert, Willow Lane's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Willow Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Willow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Willow Lane's price trends.Willow Lane Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Willow Lane stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Willow Lane could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Willow Lane by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Willow Lane Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Willow Lane stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Willow Lane shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Willow Lane stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Willow Lane Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Willow Lane Risk Indicators
The analysis of Willow Lane's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Willow Lane's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting willow stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.35 | |||
| Variance | 40.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 45.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 39.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Willow Lane
The number of cover stories for Willow Lane depends on current market conditions and Willow Lane's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Willow Lane is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Willow Lane's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Willow Lane Short Properties
Willow Lane's future price predictability will typically decrease when Willow Lane's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Willow Lane Acquisition often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Willow Lane's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Willow Lane's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4356 | |
| Shares Float | 10.8 M |
Additional Tools for Willow Stock Analysis
When running Willow Lane's price analysis, check to measure Willow Lane's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Willow Lane is operating at the current time. Most of Willow Lane's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Willow Lane's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Willow Lane's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Willow Lane to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.