Whiting Petroleum Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

WLLBW Stock  USD 6.43  1.13  21.32%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Whiting Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 6.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.58. Whiting Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Whiting Petroleum is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Whiting Petroleum Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Whiting Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 6.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Whiting Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Whiting Petroleum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Whiting Petroleum Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Whiting Petroleum Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Whiting Petroleum's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Whiting Petroleum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 18.06, respectively. We have considered Whiting Petroleum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.43
6.43
Expected Value
18.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Whiting Petroleum pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Whiting Petroleum pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7978
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2456
MADMean absolute deviation0.8573
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1008
SAESum of the absolute errors50.58
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Whiting Petroleum price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Whiting Petroleum. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Whiting Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Whiting Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.326.4317.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.316.1717.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Whiting Petroleum. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Whiting Petroleum's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Whiting Petroleum's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Whiting Petroleum.

Other Forecasting Options for Whiting Petroleum

For every potential investor in Whiting, whether a beginner or expert, Whiting Petroleum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Whiting Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Whiting. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Whiting Petroleum's price trends.

Whiting Petroleum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Whiting Petroleum pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Whiting Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Whiting Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Whiting Petroleum Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Whiting Petroleum's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Whiting Petroleum's current price.

Whiting Petroleum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Whiting Petroleum pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Whiting Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Whiting Petroleum pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Whiting Petroleum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Whiting Petroleum Risk Indicators

The analysis of Whiting Petroleum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Whiting Petroleum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting whiting pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Whiting Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Whiting Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Whiting Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Whiting Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Whiting Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Whiting Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Whiting Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Whiting Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.