Wilmar International Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

WLMIF Stock  USD 2.70  0.05  1.89%   
Wilmar Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Wilmar International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Wilmar International's share price is below 20 . This entails that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Wilmar International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wilmar International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wilmar International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wilmar International Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Wilmar International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wilmar International Limited from the perspective of Wilmar International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wilmar International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.86.

Wilmar International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wilmar International to cross-verify your projections.

Wilmar International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wilmar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wilmar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wilmar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Wilmar International is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Wilmar International Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wilmar International Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wilmar Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wilmar International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wilmar International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Wilmar International  Wilmar International Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Wilmar International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wilmar International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wilmar International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.21, respectively. We have considered Wilmar International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.70
2.70
Expected Value
7.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wilmar International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wilmar International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.8526
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0054
MADMean absolute deviation0.0643
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0268
SAESum of the absolute errors3.855
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Wilmar International Limited price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Wilmar International. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Wilmar International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmar International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.657.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.116.61
Details

Wilmar International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wilmar International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wilmar International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Wilmar International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Wilmar International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wilmar International's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wilmar International's historical news coverage. Wilmar International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 7.15, respectively. We have considered Wilmar International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.70
2.65
After-hype Price
7.15
Upside
Wilmar International is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wilmar International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wilmar International Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wilmar International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wilmar International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wilmar International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
4.51
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.70
2.65
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Wilmar International Hype Timeline

Wilmar International is at this time traded for 2.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Wilmar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wilmar International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.70. About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wilmar International last dividend was issued on the 15th of August 2022. The entity had 1:10 split on the 17th of July 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wilmar International to cross-verify your projections.

Wilmar International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wilmar International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wilmar International's future price movements. Getting to know how Wilmar International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wilmar International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CVPBFCP ALL Public 0.00 0 per month 2.86  0.04  5.71 (5.71) 40.66 
CVPUFCP ALL Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MTRAFMetro Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.94  0.02  2.31 (2.28) 7.96 
KRYAYKerry Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.03 (2.24) 5.89 
CCHBFCoca Cola HBC AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  3.20  0.00  11.95 
GRBMFGrupo Bimbo SAB 0.00 0 per month 2.84  0.02  6.56 (5.17) 18.87 
CABGYCarlsberg AS 0.00 0 per month 0.65  0.19  2.57 (1.54) 5.33 
MHGVYMowi ASA ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.11  0.02  2.70 (1.71) 6.88 
EMBVFArca Continental SAB 0.00 0 per month 1.17  0.16  3.94 (2.59) 8.45 
BDWBFBudweiser Brewing 0.00 0 per month 3.32 (0.01) 7.37 (8.26) 24.88 

Other Forecasting Options for Wilmar International

For every potential investor in Wilmar, whether a beginner or expert, Wilmar International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wilmar Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wilmar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wilmar International's price trends.

Wilmar International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wilmar International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wilmar International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wilmar International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wilmar International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wilmar International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wilmar International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wilmar International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Wilmar International Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wilmar International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wilmar International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wilmar International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wilmar pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Wilmar International

The number of cover stories for Wilmar International depends on current market conditions and Wilmar International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wilmar International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wilmar International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Wilmar Pink Sheet

Wilmar International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmar Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmar with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmar International security.