Wilmar International Pink Sheet Forward View

WLMIY Stock  USD 27.00  0.08  0.30%   
Wilmar Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Wilmar International's pink sheet price is slightly above 68. This entails that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Wilmar, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Wilmar International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wilmar International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Wilmar International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wilmar International from the perspective of Wilmar International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wilmar International on the next trading day is expected to be 28.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.15.

Wilmar International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wilmar International to cross-verify your projections.

Wilmar International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wilmar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wilmar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wilmar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Wilmar International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Wilmar International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Wilmar International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wilmar International on the next trading day is expected to be 28.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wilmar Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wilmar International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wilmar International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Wilmar International  Wilmar International Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Wilmar International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wilmar International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wilmar International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.82 and 29.53, respectively. We have considered Wilmar International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.00
28.18
Expected Value
29.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wilmar International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wilmar International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7703
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2443
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0098
SAESum of the absolute errors15.1458
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Wilmar International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Wilmar International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Wilmar International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmar International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.6427.0028.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.0523.4129.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.5224.8227.12
Details

Wilmar International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wilmar International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wilmar International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Wilmar International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Wilmar International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wilmar International's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wilmar International's historical news coverage. Wilmar International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.64 and 28.36, respectively. We have considered Wilmar International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.00
27.00
After-hype Price
28.36
Upside
Wilmar International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wilmar International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wilmar International Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wilmar International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wilmar International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wilmar International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.36
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.00
27.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Wilmar International Hype Timeline

Wilmar International is at this time traded for 27.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Wilmar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wilmar International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.00. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wilmar International last dividend was issued on the 12th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wilmar International to cross-verify your projections.

Wilmar International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wilmar International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wilmar International's future price movements. Getting to know how Wilmar International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wilmar International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CVPUFCP ALL Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
KRYAYKerry Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.65 (2.24) 5.89 
CABGYCarlsberg AS 0.00 0 per month 0.85  0.08  2.34 (1.70) 5.33 
GRBMFGrupo Bimbo SAB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.59 (4.55) 11.11 
EMBVFArca Continental SAB 0.00 0 per month 1.24  0.13  3.81 (2.59) 8.45 
KRYAFKerry Group plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 0.00 (1.14) 5.67 
BMBOYGrupo Bimbo SAB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.56 (2.52) 12.14 
MTRAFMetro Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.99 (0.02) 1.85 (2.28) 7.96 
CCHGYCoca Cola HBC 0.00 0 per month 0.40  0.20  2.06 (1.03) 7.78 
CCHBFCoca Cola HBC AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  3.20  0.00  11.95 

Other Forecasting Options for Wilmar International

For every potential investor in Wilmar, whether a beginner or expert, Wilmar International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wilmar Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wilmar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wilmar International's price trends.

Wilmar International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wilmar International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wilmar International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wilmar International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wilmar International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wilmar International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wilmar International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wilmar International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Wilmar International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wilmar International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wilmar International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wilmar International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wilmar pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Wilmar International

The number of cover stories for Wilmar International depends on current market conditions and Wilmar International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wilmar International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wilmar International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for Wilmar Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Wilmar International's price analysis, check to measure Wilmar International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wilmar International is operating at the current time. Most of Wilmar International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wilmar International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wilmar International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wilmar International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.