Washington Mutual Mutual Fund Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

WMFFX Fund  USD 65.72  0.17  0.26%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Washington Mutual Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 65.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.61. Washington Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Washington Mutual is based on an artificially constructed time series of Washington Mutual daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Washington Mutual 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Washington Mutual Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 65.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Washington Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Washington Mutual's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Washington Mutual Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Washington MutualWashington Mutual Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Washington Mutual Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Washington Mutual's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Washington Mutual's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 64.40 and 65.75, respectively. We have considered Washington Mutual's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
65.72
65.08
Expected Value
65.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Washington Mutual mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Washington Mutual mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.8447
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2663
MADMean absolute deviation0.6342
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0098
SAESum of the absolute errors33.6112
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Washington Mutual Investors 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Washington Mutual

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Washington Mutual. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.0565.7266.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.4865.1565.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
63.9465.1566.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Washington Mutual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Washington Mutual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Washington Mutual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Washington Mutual.

Other Forecasting Options for Washington Mutual

For every potential investor in Washington, whether a beginner or expert, Washington Mutual's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Washington Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Washington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Washington Mutual's price trends.

Washington Mutual Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Washington Mutual mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Washington Mutual could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Washington Mutual by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Washington Mutual Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Washington Mutual's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Washington Mutual's current price.

Washington Mutual Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Washington Mutual mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Washington Mutual shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Washington Mutual mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Washington Mutual Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Washington Mutual Risk Indicators

The analysis of Washington Mutual's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Washington Mutual's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting washington mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Washington Mutual Fund

Washington Mutual financial ratios help investors to determine whether Washington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Washington with respect to the benefits of owning Washington Mutual security.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas