Warner Music Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| WMG Stock | USD 30.91 1.31 4.43% |
Warner Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Warner Music's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Warner Music's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.311 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4622 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7608 | Wall Street Target Price 37.4444 |
Using Warner Music hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Warner Music Group from the perspective of Warner Music response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Warner Music using Warner Music's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Warner using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Warner Music's stock price.
Warner Music Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Warner Music's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Warner. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Warner Music stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 30.186 | Short Percent 0.0564 | Short Ratio 2.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.2 M | 50 Day MA 29.3886 |
Warner Relative Strength Index
Warner Music Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Warner Music's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Warner. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Warner can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Warner Music Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Warner Music's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Warner Music.
Warner Music Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Warner Music's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Warner Music Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Warner Music's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Warner Music stock will not fluctuate a lot when Warner Music's options are near their expiration.
Warner Music after-hype prediction price | USD 30.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Warner Music to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Warner contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Warner Music Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Warner Music trading at USD 30.91, that is roughly USD 0.008693 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Warner Music's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Warner Music Group options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Warner Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Warner Music's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Warner Music's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Warner Music stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Warner Music's open interest, investors have to compare it to Warner Music's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Warner Music is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Warner. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Warner Music Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Warner price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Warner using various technical indicators. When you analyze Warner charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 68602.55 | 0.0424 |
| Check Warner Music Volatility | Backtest Warner Music | Information Ratio |
Warner Music Trading Date Momentum
| On February 10 2026 Warner Music Group was traded for 30.91 at the closing time. Highest Warner Music's price during the trading hours was 30.91 and the lowest price during the day was 29.60 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 10th of February had no short-term effect on price fluctuation. The trading price change to current price is 4.24% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Warner Music to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Warner Music
For every potential investor in Warner, whether a beginner or expert, Warner Music's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Warner Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Warner. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Warner Music's price trends.Warner Music Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Warner Music stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Warner Music could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Warner Music by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Warner Music Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Warner Music stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Warner Music shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Warner Music stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Warner Music Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Warner Music Risk Indicators
The analysis of Warner Music's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Warner Music's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting warner stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Variance | 3.19 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Warner Music
The number of cover stories for Warner Music depends on current market conditions and Warner Music's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Warner Music is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Warner Music's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Warner Music Short Properties
Warner Music's future price predictability will typically decrease when Warner Music's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Warner Music Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Warner Music's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warner Music's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 519 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 532 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Warner Music to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Can Movies & Entertainment industry sustain growth momentum? Does Warner have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Warner Music. Anticipated expansion of Warner directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Warner Music demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 0.74 | Earnings Share 0.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
Warner Music Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Warner's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Warner Music's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Warner Music's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Warner Music's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Warner Music is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Warner Music's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.