Wilmington Multi-manager Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

WMRIX Fund  USD 14.97  0.06  0.40%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wilmington Multi Manager Real on the next trading day is expected to be 15.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.16. Wilmington Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Wilmington Multi-manager's share price is below 20 . This entails that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Wilmington Multi-manager's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wilmington Multi Manager Real, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Wilmington Multi-manager hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wilmington Multi Manager Real from the perspective of Wilmington Multi-manager response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wilmington Multi Manager Real on the next trading day is expected to be 15.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.16.

Wilmington Multi-manager after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wilmington Multi-manager to cross-verify your projections.

Wilmington Multi-manager Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wilmington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wilmington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wilmington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Wilmington Multi-manager is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Wilmington Multi Manager Real value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Wilmington Multi-manager Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wilmington Multi Manager Real on the next trading day is expected to be 15.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wilmington Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wilmington Multi-manager's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wilmington Multi-manager Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Wilmington Multi-managerWilmington Multi-manager Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Wilmington Multi-manager Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wilmington Multi-manager's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wilmington Multi-manager's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.12 and 16.10, respectively. We have considered Wilmington Multi-manager's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.97
15.11
Expected Value
16.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wilmington Multi-manager mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wilmington Multi-manager mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5095
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1175
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0077
SAESum of the absolute errors7.1648
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Wilmington Multi Manager Real. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Wilmington Multi-manager. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Wilmington Multi-manager

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wilmington Multi-manager. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9814.9715.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0014.9915.98
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wilmington Multi-manager

For every potential investor in Wilmington, whether a beginner or expert, Wilmington Multi-manager's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wilmington Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wilmington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wilmington Multi-manager's price trends.

Wilmington Multi-manager Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wilmington Multi-manager mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wilmington Multi-manager could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wilmington Multi-manager by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wilmington Multi-manager Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wilmington Multi-manager's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wilmington Multi-manager's current price.

Wilmington Multi-manager Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wilmington Multi-manager mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wilmington Multi-manager shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wilmington Multi-manager mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Wilmington Multi Manager Real entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wilmington Multi-manager Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wilmington Multi-manager's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wilmington Multi-manager's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wilmington mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Wilmington Mutual Fund

Wilmington Multi-manager financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wilmington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wilmington with respect to the benefits of owning Wilmington Multi-manager security.
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume