SolarWindow Technologies Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

WNDW Stock  USD 0.47  0.01  2.08%   
SolarWindow Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of SolarWindow Technologies' share price is at 51. This entails that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SolarWindow Technologies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SolarWindow Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SolarWindow Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SolarWindow Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SolarWindow Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SolarWindow Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SolarWindow Technologies from the perspective of SolarWindow Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of SolarWindow Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.99.

SolarWindow Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SolarWindow Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

SolarWindow Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SolarWindow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SolarWindow using various technical indicators. When you analyze SolarWindow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through SolarWindow Technologies price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

SolarWindow Technologies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of SolarWindow Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SolarWindow Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SolarWindow Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SolarWindow Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest SolarWindow Technologies  SolarWindow Technologies Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

SolarWindow Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SolarWindow Technologies' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SolarWindow Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 9.05, respectively. We have considered SolarWindow Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.47
0.43
Expected Value
9.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SolarWindow Technologies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SolarWindow Technologies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6365
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0326
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0728
SAESum of the absolute errors1.9868
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as SolarWindow Technologies historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for SolarWindow Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SolarWindow Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SolarWindow Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.479.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.399.01
Details

SolarWindow Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SolarWindow Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SolarWindow Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SolarWindow Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SolarWindow Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SolarWindow Technologies' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SolarWindow Technologies' historical news coverage. SolarWindow Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 9.09, respectively. We have considered SolarWindow Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.47
0.47
After-hype Price
9.09
Upside
SolarWindow Technologies is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SolarWindow Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

SolarWindow Technologies Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SolarWindow Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SolarWindow Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SolarWindow Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
8.62
 0.00  
  0.05 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.47
0.47
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

SolarWindow Technologies Hype Timeline

SolarWindow Technologies is at this time traded for 0.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. SolarWindow is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on SolarWindow Technologies is about 4486.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.42. About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.11. SolarWindow Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:3 split on the 21st of March 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SolarWindow Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

SolarWindow Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SolarWindow Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SolarWindow Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how SolarWindow Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SolarWindow Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SMAYFSIMEC Atlantis Energy(0.04)1 per month 0.00  0.12  23.91  0.00  101.31 
BESSBimergen Energy 0.00 0 per month 6.41  0.04  9.51 (11.09) 65.18 
CWGYFCarnegie Clean Energy(0.05)4 per month 12.37  0.04  27.33 (23.78) 79.12 
WEGYFWestbridge Energy(1.56)2 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.97 (4.32) 14.29 
SHUNFShunfeng International Clean 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CLMOFClimeon AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GIPIFGreen Impact Partners 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  9.09 
CNQQFClean Teq Water(0.26)5 per month 15.53  0.18  20.00 (16.67) 2,698 
CGFEFCF Energy Corp 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CLNVClean Vision Corp(0.01)4 per month 0.00 (0.17) 11.67 (13.01) 42.44 

Other Forecasting Options for SolarWindow Technologies

For every potential investor in SolarWindow, whether a beginner or expert, SolarWindow Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SolarWindow Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SolarWindow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SolarWindow Technologies' price trends.

SolarWindow Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SolarWindow Technologies pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SolarWindow Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SolarWindow Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SolarWindow Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SolarWindow Technologies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SolarWindow Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SolarWindow Technologies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SolarWindow Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SolarWindow Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of SolarWindow Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SolarWindow Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting solarwindow pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for SolarWindow Technologies

The number of cover stories for SolarWindow Technologies depends on current market conditions and SolarWindow Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SolarWindow Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SolarWindow Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SolarWindow Technologies Short Properties

SolarWindow Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when SolarWindow Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SolarWindow Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SolarWindow Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SolarWindow Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.1 M

Additional Tools for SolarWindow Pink Sheet Analysis

When running SolarWindow Technologies' price analysis, check to measure SolarWindow Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SolarWindow Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of SolarWindow Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SolarWindow Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SolarWindow Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SolarWindow Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.