Woodsboro Bank Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

WOBK Stock  USD 69.00  4.00  6.15%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Woodsboro Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 71.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.32. Woodsboro Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now The relative strength index (RSI) of Woodsboro Bank's share price is above 80 . This entails that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 80

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Woodsboro Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Woodsboro Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Woodsboro Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Woodsboro Bank from the perspective of Woodsboro Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Woodsboro Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 71.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.32.

Woodsboro Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 69.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Woodsboro Bank to cross-verify your projections.

Woodsboro Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Woodsboro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Woodsboro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Woodsboro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Woodsboro Bank is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Woodsboro Bank value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Woodsboro Bank Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Woodsboro Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 71.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 0.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Woodsboro Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Woodsboro Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Woodsboro Bank Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Woodsboro BankWoodsboro Bank Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Woodsboro Bank Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Woodsboro Bank's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Woodsboro Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.57 and 72.86, respectively. We have considered Woodsboro Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.00
71.22
Expected Value
72.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Woodsboro Bank pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Woodsboro Bank pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6938
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0107
SAESum of the absolute errors42.321
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Woodsboro Bank. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Woodsboro Bank. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Woodsboro Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Woodsboro Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.3769.0070.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.1078.0779.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
62.5865.8369.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Woodsboro Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Woodsboro Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Woodsboro Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Woodsboro Bank.

Woodsboro Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Woodsboro Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Woodsboro Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Woodsboro Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Woodsboro Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Woodsboro Bank's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Woodsboro Bank's historical news coverage. Woodsboro Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.37 and 70.63, respectively. We have considered Woodsboro Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
69.00
69.00
After-hype Price
70.63
Upside
Woodsboro Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Woodsboro Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

Woodsboro Bank Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Woodsboro Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Woodsboro Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Woodsboro Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
1.64
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
69.00
69.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Woodsboro Bank Hype Timeline

Woodsboro Bank is at this time traded for 69.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Woodsboro is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Woodsboro Bank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of February 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Woodsboro Bank to cross-verify your projections.

Woodsboro Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Woodsboro Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Woodsboro Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Woodsboro Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Woodsboro Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BKUTKBank Utica Ny 0.00 0 per month 1.49 (0.01) 2.51 (2.99) 8.53 
EFSGEnterprise Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.29  0.00  24.02 
CNBZCNB Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.00  0.00  19.58 
HVLMHuron Valley Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 0.00  0.00  2.01 
ELMAElmer Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.53  0.00  1.69 
JFWVJefferson Security Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 0.00  0.00  3.88 
QNTOQuaint Oak Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.24  0.07  2.97 (3.30) 12.43 
AMFCAMB Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  1.48 (0.60) 3.86 
SSBPSSB Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  3.39 (0.88) 13.35 
RBNKRiverBank Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.17  4.00  0.00  9.97 

Other Forecasting Options for Woodsboro Bank

For every potential investor in Woodsboro, whether a beginner or expert, Woodsboro Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Woodsboro Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Woodsboro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Woodsboro Bank's price trends.

Woodsboro Bank Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Woodsboro Bank pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Woodsboro Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Woodsboro Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Woodsboro Bank Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Woodsboro Bank pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Woodsboro Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Woodsboro Bank pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Woodsboro Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Woodsboro Bank Risk Indicators

The analysis of Woodsboro Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Woodsboro Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting woodsboro pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Woodsboro Bank

The number of cover stories for Woodsboro Bank depends on current market conditions and Woodsboro Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Woodsboro Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Woodsboro Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Woodsboro Pink Sheet

Woodsboro Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Woodsboro Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Woodsboro with respect to the benefits of owning Woodsboro Bank security.