West International Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

WPAY Stock  SEK 0.59  0.01  1.67%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of West International AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.00. West Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
West International simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for West International AB are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as West International prices get older.

West International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of West International AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict West Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that West International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

West International Stock Forecast Pattern

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West International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting West International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. West International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.43, respectively. We have considered West International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.59
0.59
Expected Value
4.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of West International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent West International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8856
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0054
MADMean absolute deviation0.0165
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0036
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting West International AB forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent West International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for West International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.594.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.554.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for West International

For every potential investor in West, whether a beginner or expert, West International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. West Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in West. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying West International's price trends.

West International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with West International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of West International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing West International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

West International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of West International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of West International's current price.

West International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how West International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading West International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying West International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify West International AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

West International Risk Indicators

The analysis of West International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in West International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting west stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for West Stock Analysis

When running West International's price analysis, check to measure West International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy West International is operating at the current time. Most of West International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of West International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move West International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of West International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.