Winston Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| WPHM Stock | USD 0.0003 0.00 0.000003% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Winston Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Winston Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Winston Pharmaceuticals' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Winston Pharmaceuticals' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Winston Pharmaceuticals fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Winston Pharmaceuticals' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Winston Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Winston Pharmaceuticals from the perspective of Winston Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Winston Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Winston Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price | USD 3.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Winston Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections. Winston Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Winston price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Winston using various technical indicators. When you analyze Winston charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Winston Pharmaceuticals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Winston Pharmaceuticals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Winston Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Winston Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Winston Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern
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Winston Pharmaceuticals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Winston Pharmaceuticals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Winston Pharmaceuticals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 0.0003, respectively. We have considered Winston Pharmaceuticals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Winston Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Winston Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 61.5214 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Winston Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Winston Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Winston Pharmaceuticals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Winston Pharmaceuticals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Winston Pharmaceuticals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Winston Pharmaceuticals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Winston Pharmaceuticals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Winston Pharmaceuticals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Winston Pharmaceuticals' historical news coverage. Winston Pharmaceuticals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Winston Pharmaceuticals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Winston Pharmaceuticals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Winston Pharmaceuticals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Winston Pharmaceuticals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Winston Pharmaceuticals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Winston Pharmaceuticals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Winston Pharmaceuticals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0003 | 0.0003 | 0.00 |
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Winston Pharmaceuticals Hype Timeline
Winston Pharmaceuticals is at this time traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Winston is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Winston Pharmaceuticals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Winston Pharmaceuticals had 1:8 split on the 16th of January 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Winston Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections.Winston Pharmaceuticals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Winston Pharmaceuticals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Winston Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. Getting to know how Winston Pharmaceuticals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Winston Pharmaceuticals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TCLIF | Theraclion SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ALST | Allstar Health Brands | 0.05 | 9 per month | 8.25 | 0.03 | 25.00 | (20.00) | 70.00 | |
| IYXI | Inyx Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SESI | SES Solar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AFIB | Acutus Medical | (0.02) | 23 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 100.00 | (70.00) | 2,997 | |
| BTAX | Biostax Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STAB | Statera Biopharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 21.51 | 0.19 | 100.00 | (66.67) | 275.00 | |
| KKUR | ChromoCure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CENBF | CEN Biotech | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DMSI | Dermisonics | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Winston Pharmaceuticals
For every potential investor in Winston, whether a beginner or expert, Winston Pharmaceuticals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Winston Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Winston. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Winston Pharmaceuticals' price trends.Winston Pharmaceuticals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Winston Pharmaceuticals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Winston Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Winston Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Winston Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Winston Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Winston Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Winston Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Winston Pharmaceuticals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Winston Pharmaceuticals
The number of cover stories for Winston Pharmaceuticals depends on current market conditions and Winston Pharmaceuticals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Winston Pharmaceuticals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Winston Pharmaceuticals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Winston Pharmaceuticals to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Winston Stock, please use our How to Invest in Winston Pharmaceuticals guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Winston Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Winston will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Winston Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Winston Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Winston that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Winston Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Winston Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Winston Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Winston Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Winston Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Winston Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Winston Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.