Waste Plastic Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WPU Stock   14.45  0.55  3.96%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Waste Plastic Upcycling on the next trading day is expected to be 13.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.51. Waste Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Waste Plastic is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Waste Plastic Upcycling value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Waste Plastic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Waste Plastic Upcycling on the next trading day is expected to be 13.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Waste Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Waste Plastic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Waste Plastic Stock Forecast Pattern

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Waste Plastic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Waste Plastic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Waste Plastic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.68 and 17.45, respectively. We have considered Waste Plastic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.45
13.56
Expected Value
17.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Waste Plastic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Waste Plastic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0242
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4922
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0249
SAESum of the absolute errors30.5144
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Waste Plastic Upcycling. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Waste Plastic. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Waste Plastic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waste Plastic Upcycling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6414.4518.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0613.8717.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Waste Plastic

For every potential investor in Waste, whether a beginner or expert, Waste Plastic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Waste Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Waste. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Waste Plastic's price trends.

Waste Plastic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Waste Plastic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Waste Plastic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Waste Plastic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Waste Plastic Upcycling Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Waste Plastic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Waste Plastic's current price.

Waste Plastic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Waste Plastic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Waste Plastic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Waste Plastic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Waste Plastic Upcycling entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Waste Plastic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Waste Plastic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Waste Plastic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting waste stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Waste Stock

Waste Plastic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Waste Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Waste with respect to the benefits of owning Waste Plastic security.