WeRide American Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WRD Stock   8.68  0.22  2.47%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WeRide American Depositary on the next trading day is expected to be 7.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.85. WeRide Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WeRide American stock prices and determine the direction of WeRide American Depositary's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WeRide American's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of WeRide American's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of WeRide American's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of WeRide American and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from WeRide American's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with WeRide American Depositary, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting WeRide American's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(2.87)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(2.63)
Wall Street Target Price
15.5383
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.442
Using WeRide American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WeRide American Depositary from the perspective of WeRide American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards WeRide American using WeRide American's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards WeRide using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of WeRide American's stock price.

WeRide American Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in WeRide American's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards WeRide. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of WeRide American stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
9.6063
Short Percent
0.0293
Short Ratio
1.57
Shares Short Prior Month
8.3 M
50 Day MA
8.8913

WeRide American Depo Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to WeRide American's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in WeRide. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding WeRide can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around WeRide American Depositary. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of WeRide American's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about WeRide American.

WeRide American Implied Volatility

    
  0.97  
WeRide American's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of WeRide American Depositary stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if WeRide American's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that WeRide American stock will not fluctuate a lot when WeRide American's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of WeRide American Depositary on the next trading day is expected to be 7.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.85.

WeRide American after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WeRide American to cross-verify your projections.
At present, WeRide American's Receivables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.40, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.98. . As of January 2, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 210.9 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 WeRide Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast WeRide American's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in WeRide American's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for WeRide American stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current WeRide American's open interest, investors have to compare it to WeRide American's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of WeRide American is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in WeRide. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

WeRide American Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine WeRide price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WeRide using various technical indicators. When you analyze WeRide charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

WeRide American Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the WeRide American's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
4.9 B
Current Value
5.2 B
Quarterly Volatility
1.9 B
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for WeRide American is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of WeRide American Depositary value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

WeRide American Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of WeRide American Depositary on the next trading day is expected to be 7.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WeRide Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WeRide American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

WeRide American Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WeRide AmericanWeRide American Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

WeRide American Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting WeRide American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WeRide American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.06 and 12.59, respectively. We have considered WeRide American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.68
7.83
Expected Value
12.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WeRide American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WeRide American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.4181
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5876
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0638
SAESum of the absolute errors35.8451
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of WeRide American Depositary. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict WeRide American. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for WeRide American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WeRide American Depo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.848.6813.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.887.7212.56
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.1415.5417.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for WeRide American

For every potential investor in WeRide, whether a beginner or expert, WeRide American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WeRide Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WeRide. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WeRide American's price trends.

WeRide American Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WeRide American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WeRide American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WeRide American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

WeRide American Depo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WeRide American's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WeRide American's current price.

WeRide American Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WeRide American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WeRide American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WeRide American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WeRide American Depositary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

WeRide American Risk Indicators

The analysis of WeRide American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WeRide American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting weride stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether WeRide American Depo is a strong investment it is important to analyze WeRide American's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact WeRide American's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding WeRide Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WeRide American to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WeRide American. If investors know WeRide will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WeRide American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.77)
Revenue Per Share
1.779
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.442
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(1.84)
The market value of WeRide American Depo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WeRide that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WeRide American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WeRide American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WeRide American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WeRide American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WeRide American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WeRide American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WeRide American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.