Winsome Resources OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

WRSLF Stock   0.27  0.06  18.18%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Winsome Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63. Winsome OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Winsome Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Winsome Resources simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Winsome Resources Limited are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Winsome Resources prices get older.

Winsome Resources Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Winsome Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Winsome OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Winsome Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Winsome Resources OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Winsome Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Winsome Resources' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Winsome Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.37, respectively. We have considered Winsome Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.27
0.27
Expected Value
7.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Winsome Resources otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Winsome Resources otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8623
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 8.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0105
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0303
SAESum of the absolute errors0.63
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Winsome Resources Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Winsome Resources observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Winsome Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Winsome Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.277.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.267.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Winsome Resources

For every potential investor in Winsome, whether a beginner or expert, Winsome Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Winsome OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Winsome. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Winsome Resources' price trends.

Winsome Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Winsome Resources otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Winsome Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Winsome Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Winsome Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Winsome Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Winsome Resources' current price.

Winsome Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Winsome Resources otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Winsome Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Winsome Resources otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Winsome Resources Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Winsome Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Winsome Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Winsome Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting winsome otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Winsome OTC Stock

Winsome Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Winsome OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Winsome with respect to the benefits of owning Winsome Resources security.