Wellington Shields Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| WSACX Fund | USD 29.86 0.08 0.27% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wellington Shields All Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 29.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.84. Wellington Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Wellington |
Wellington Shields Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wellington Shields All Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 29.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wellington Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wellington Shields' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wellington Shields Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wellington Shields | Wellington Shields Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wellington Shields Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wellington Shields' Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wellington Shields' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.00 and 30.72, respectively. We have considered Wellington Shields' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wellington Shields mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wellington Shields mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9604 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0788 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2176 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0077 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.84 |
Predictive Modules for Wellington Shields
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wellington Shields All. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wellington Shields' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Wellington Shields
For every potential investor in Wellington, whether a beginner or expert, Wellington Shields' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wellington Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wellington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wellington Shields' price trends.Wellington Shields Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wellington Shields mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wellington Shields could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wellington Shields by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wellington Shields All Technical and Predictive Analytics
The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wellington Shields' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wellington Shields' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wellington Shields Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wellington Shields mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wellington Shields shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wellington Shields mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Wellington Shields All Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.86 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.86 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.04 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.08 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 69.73 |
Wellington Shields Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wellington Shields' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wellington Shields' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wellington mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6311 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6893 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8578 | |||
| Variance | 0.7357 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7867 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4751 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Wellington Mutual Fund
Wellington Shields financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wellington Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wellington with respect to the benefits of owning Wellington Shields security.
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |