Willscot Mobile Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WSC Stock  USD 35.44  0.51  1.46%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Willscot Mobile Mini on the next trading day is expected to be 32.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.40. Willscot Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Willscot Mobile stock prices and determine the direction of Willscot Mobile Mini's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Willscot Mobile's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Willscot Mobile's Payables Turnover is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 1.03, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.67. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 410 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 136.1 M.

Willscot Mobile Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Willscot Mobile's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-09-30
Previous Quarter
5.9 M
Current Value
11 M
Quarterly Volatility
6.9 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Willscot Mobile is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Willscot Mobile Mini value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Willscot Mobile Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Willscot Mobile Mini on the next trading day is expected to be 32.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Willscot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Willscot Mobile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Willscot Mobile Stock Forecast Pattern

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Willscot Mobile Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Willscot Mobile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Willscot Mobile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.23 and 35.10, respectively. We have considered Willscot Mobile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.44
32.16
Expected Value
35.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Willscot Mobile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Willscot Mobile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5441
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9738
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0261
SAESum of the absolute errors59.4035
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Willscot Mobile Mini. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Willscot Mobile. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Willscot Mobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Willscot Mobile Mini. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Willscot Mobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.5535.4938.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.9041.3144.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.2336.8740.51
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
52.8758.1064.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Willscot Mobile

For every potential investor in Willscot, whether a beginner or expert, Willscot Mobile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Willscot Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Willscot. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Willscot Mobile's price trends.

Willscot Mobile Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Willscot Mobile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Willscot Mobile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Willscot Mobile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Willscot Mobile Mini Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Willscot Mobile's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Willscot Mobile's current price.

Willscot Mobile Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Willscot Mobile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Willscot Mobile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Willscot Mobile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Willscot Mobile Mini entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Willscot Mobile Risk Indicators

The analysis of Willscot Mobile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Willscot Mobile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting willscot stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Willscot Mobile Mini offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Willscot Mobile's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Willscot Mobile Mini Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Willscot Mobile Mini Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Willscot Mobile to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Willscot Mobile. If investors know Willscot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Willscot Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.71)
Earnings Share
0.12
Revenue Per Share
12.675
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
0.0592
The market value of Willscot Mobile Mini is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Willscot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Willscot Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Willscot Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Willscot Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Willscot Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Willscot Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Willscot Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Willscot Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.