Walthausen Small Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Walthausen Small Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Walthausen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Walthausen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Walthausen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Walthausen Small simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Walthausen Small Cap are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Walthausen Small Cap prices get older.

Walthausen Small Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Walthausen Small Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 15.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.62.

Walthausen Small Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Walthausen Small Price Prediction

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Walthausen Small Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Walthausen Small mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Walthausen Small mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Walthausen Small Cap forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Walthausen Small observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Walthausen Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walthausen Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 13.61 15.70 17.79 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 14.47 16.56 18.65 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 14.49 15.41 16.32 Details

Walthausen Small After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Walthausen Small Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Walthausen Small Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Walthausen Small Hype Timeline

Walthausen Small Cap is at this time traded for 15.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Walthausen is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. %. The volatility of related hype on Walthausen Small is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.70. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Walthausen Small Cap last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walthausen Small to cross-verify your projections.

Walthausen Small Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Walthausen Small

For every potential investor in Walthausen, whether a beginner or expert, Walthausen Small's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Walthausen Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Walthausen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Walthausen Small's price trends.

Walthausen Small Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Walthausen Small Market Strength Events

Walthausen Small Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Walthausen Small

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