Ivy Science Mutual Fund Forward View

WSTCX Fund

USD 102.61 1.63 1.61%

Ivy Science And's Naive Prediction forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The Naive Prediction model projects Ivy Science at 102.22 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.

A naive forecasting model for Ivy Science is a special case of the moving average where the smoothing period is one. The forecast for Ivy Science And on a given trading day is simply the observed closing price of the previous period. Because it uses only a single lag, this model is limited to one-period-ahead forecasts.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts Ivy Science at 102.22 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 87.51 .

This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Ivy Science's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Ivy Science Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The projected range for Ivy Science reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The forecast band spans 100.46 to 103.97. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.

Market Value

102.61

100.46

Downside

102.22

Expected Value

103.97

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for Ivy Science mutual fund. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	119.3456
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	None
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	1.4346
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.017
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	87.5136

The naive model produces a tight forecast range but offers no smoothing of noise or trend detection. It serves primarily as a baseline benchmark — if a more complex model cannot outperform the naive forecast, it may indicate that Ivy Science price movements are largely random over the selected horizon.

Other Forecasting Options for Ivy Science

Bollinger Bands applied to Ivy Science Mutual Fund price data measure how far Ivy Science has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Ivy Science's price data. On-balance volume for Ivy Science Mutual Fund creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in Ivy Science. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for Ivy Science's.

Ivy Science Comparable Funds

The related funds below provide a category-based comparison set for Ivy Science's. Looking across similar funds helps show whether Ivy Science's pricing and risk profile are typical for the category.

Transamerica Emerging Markets Victory Diversified Stock Massmutual Premier Diversified Templeton Emerging Markets Federated Emerging Market Total Stock Market Ep Emerging Markets Msif Emerging Markets American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup SentinelOne CVS Health Corp

Risk & Return

Correlation

Ivy Science Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Ivy Science quantify how the mutual fund responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Ivy Science. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for Ivy Science through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.

	Rate Of Daily Change	1.02
	Day Median Price	102.61
	Day Typical Price	102.61
	Price Action Indicator	0.81
	Period Momentum Indicator	1.63

Ivy Science Risk Indicators

Analyzing Ivy Science's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Ivy Science helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, Ivy Science's losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.

	Mean Deviation	1.33
	Semi Deviation	1.39
	Standard Deviation	1.76
	Variance	3.08
	Downside Variance	3.23
	Semi Variance	1.92
	Expected Short fall	-1.42

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average