Vienna Insurance Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

WSV2 Stock  EUR 67.40  0.20  0.30%   
Vienna Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Vienna Insurance's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Vienna Insurance's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vienna Insurance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vienna Insurance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vienna Insurance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vienna Insurance Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vienna Insurance's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.102
Wall Street Target Price
17.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.089
Using Vienna Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vienna Insurance Group from the perspective of Vienna Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Vienna Insurance Group on the next trading day is expected to be 72.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 203.10.

Vienna Insurance after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 67.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vienna Insurance to cross-verify your projections.

Vienna Insurance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vienna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vienna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vienna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Vienna Insurance price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Vienna Insurance Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Vienna Insurance Group on the next trading day is expected to be 72.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.33, mean absolute percentage error of 15.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 203.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vienna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vienna Insurance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vienna Insurance Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vienna Insurance  Vienna Insurance Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Vienna Insurance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vienna Insurance's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vienna Insurance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.73 and 75.06, respectively. We have considered Vienna Insurance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.40
72.89
Expected Value
75.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vienna Insurance stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vienna Insurance stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.8308
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.3296
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0556
SAESum of the absolute errors203.1045
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Vienna Insurance Group historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Vienna Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vienna Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.3767.5569.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.6672.3474.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
47.3361.5575.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vienna Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vienna Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vienna Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vienna Insurance.

Vienna Insurance After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vienna Insurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vienna Insurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vienna Insurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vienna Insurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vienna Insurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vienna Insurance's historical news coverage. Vienna Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.37 and 69.73, respectively. We have considered Vienna Insurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
67.40
67.55
After-hype Price
69.73
Upside
Vienna Insurance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vienna Insurance is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vienna Insurance Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vienna Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vienna Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vienna Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.72 
2.17
  0.14 
  0.20 
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.40
67.55
0.22 
1,085  
Notes

Vienna Insurance Hype Timeline

Vienna Insurance is at this time traded for 67.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. Vienna is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 67.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Vienna Insurance is about 791.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.60. The company reported the revenue of 12.93 B. Net Income was 645.26 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.81 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vienna Insurance to cross-verify your projections.

Vienna Insurance Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vienna Insurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vienna Insurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Vienna Insurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vienna Insurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TLIKTELES Informationstechnologien AG 0.00 2 per month 13.98  0.12  28.57 (35.90) 202.56 
0BDZovio Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
94PAUREA SA INH 0.00 0 per month 2.39 (0.03) 3.44 (3.93) 11.80 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.29 (2.27) 21.96 
DVDGFranklin Global Quality 0.05 4 per month 0.41  0.04  1.00 (0.65) 3.06 
INLIntel(0.18)8 per month 4.20  0.07  8.76 (5.60) 24.14 
BTC1Bitwise Core Bitcoin(0.22)8 per month 0.00 (0.27) 3.90 (5.63) 14.40 
RS6Reliance Steel Aluminum 2.90 6 per month 0.80  0.15  3.18 (1.57) 5.54 
RRURolls Royce Holdings plc 0.20 6 per month 2.29  0.01  3.53 (3.36) 9.23 
9K1NORDIC HALIBUT AS(0.01)4 per month 1.61  0.01  3.05 (2.79) 12.62 

Other Forecasting Options for Vienna Insurance

For every potential investor in Vienna, whether a beginner or expert, Vienna Insurance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vienna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vienna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vienna Insurance's price trends.

Vienna Insurance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vienna Insurance stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vienna Insurance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vienna Insurance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vienna Insurance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vienna Insurance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vienna Insurance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vienna Insurance stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vienna Insurance Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vienna Insurance Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vienna Insurance's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vienna Insurance's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vienna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Vienna Insurance

The number of cover stories for Vienna Insurance depends on current market conditions and Vienna Insurance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vienna Insurance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vienna Insurance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Vienna Insurance Short Properties

Vienna Insurance's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vienna Insurance's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vienna Insurance Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vienna Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vienna Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128 M
Dividends Paid199.8 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.55
Shares Float35.2 M

Other Information on Investing in Vienna Stock

Vienna Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vienna Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vienna with respect to the benefits of owning Vienna Insurance security.