Waton Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| WTF Stock | 3.32 0.10 3.11% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Waton Financial Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.89. Waton Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Waton Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, Waton Financial's Payables Turnover is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Waton Financial's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.92, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 11.99. . The Waton Financial's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 52.5 M. Waton Financial Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Waton Financial's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 7.7 M | Current Value 9.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 4.7 M |
Waton Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Waton Financial Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Waton Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Waton Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Waton Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Waton Financial | Waton Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Waton Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Waton Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Waton Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.76, respectively. We have considered Waton Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Waton Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Waton Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1775 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2769 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0645 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.8887 |
Predictive Modules for Waton Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waton Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Waton Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Waton Financial
For every potential investor in Waton, whether a beginner or expert, Waton Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Waton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Waton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Waton Financial's price trends.Waton Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Waton Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Waton Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Waton Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Waton Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Waton Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Waton Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Waton Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Waton Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Waton Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Waton Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Waton Financial Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Waton Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Waton Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Waton Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting waton stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.27 | |||
| Variance | 39.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Waton Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waton Financial. If investors know Waton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Waton Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Waton Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Waton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Waton Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Waton Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Waton Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Waton Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waton Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waton Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waton Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.