Welsbach Technology Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WTMAU Stock  USD 10.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Welsbach Technology Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 7.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.67. Welsbach Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Welsbach Technology's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Welsbach Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Welsbach Technology Metals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Welsbach Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Welsbach Technology Metals from the perspective of Welsbach Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Welsbach Technology Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 7.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.67.

Welsbach Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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At this time, Welsbach Technology's Other Current Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Liabilities is likely to gain to about 13.2 T in 2026, whereas Cash is likely to drop 1,013 in 2026.

Welsbach Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Welsbach price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Welsbach using various technical indicators. When you analyze Welsbach charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Welsbach Technology's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.1 K
Current Value
K
Quarterly Volatility
538.4 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Welsbach Technology is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Welsbach Technology Metals value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Welsbach Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Welsbach Technology Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 7.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45, mean absolute percentage error of 4.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Welsbach Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Welsbach Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Welsbach Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Welsbach Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Welsbach Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6794
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4537
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0869
SAESum of the absolute errors88.675
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Welsbach Technology Metals. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Welsbach Technology. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Welsbach Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Welsbach Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.179.9517.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.0911.8719.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Welsbach Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Welsbach Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Welsbach Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Welsbach Technology.

Welsbach Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Welsbach Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Welsbach Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Welsbach Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Welsbach Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Welsbach Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Welsbach Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Welsbach Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Welsbach Technology Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Welsbach Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Welsbach Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Welsbach Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting welsbach stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Welsbach Stock Analysis

When running Welsbach Technology's price analysis, check to measure Welsbach Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Welsbach Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Welsbach Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Welsbach Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Welsbach Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Welsbach Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.